EUR/CHF – 4H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.18 %
Entry
0.92253
Target
0.92871 +0.67 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.90896 −1.47 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 477 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 477 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, RSI OS Exit, BOP Zero Cross Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 100 % (28.32) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 9 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 17.5 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 446 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/CHF  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 9 × 4h 100%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.42
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.95
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.58
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.56
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.32
▼ Below The Stomach candlestick 1.11
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 0.88

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong cluster of bullish oscillator signals fired on the 4H, but the higher timeframes remain firmly bearish.
  • The 4H signal is a counter-trend move; watch for confirmation above 0.92871 or invalidation below 0.92145.
  • Oversold-exit signals (RSI, WILLR) and the ER level cross down suggest a potential corrective bounce, not necessarily a full reversal.
  • The trend scores across timeframes are heavily bearish, so the bullish signal should be treated with caution until higher timeframes align.
The 4H EUR/CHF signal fires a cluster of bullish oscillators — BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and WILLR OS Exit — alongside the ER Level Cross Down and a KELTNER LOWER lower retreat, all converging below the stomach. This suggests that the recent sharp downtrend may be exhausting itself, with momentum shifting from bearish to bullish at the 4H timeframe. The confluence of multiple oversold-exit signals and the cross of the ER level down (often a mean-reversion trigger) points to a potential corrective bounce or a more sustained reversal.

However, the higher timeframes (1H to 12H) all print bearish trends with very strong scores (4/5), and even the 4H itself is bearish (4/5) despite the fired BUY signal. This creates a clear conflict: the 4H signal is counter-trend relative to the broader picture. The nearest resistance at 0.92871 is a key hurdle; a break above would confirm the bullish momentum, while a failure to hold above the nearest support at 0.92145 would invalidate the signal. Traders should watch for a shift in the higher-timeframe trend scores or a decisive close above resistance to validate this counter-trend move.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold-exit signals (RSI OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit) and BOP Zero Cross Up indicate momentum shifting from bearish to bullish at the 4H timeframe.
  • ▲ The KELTNER LOWER lower retreat and Below The Stomach pattern suggest the price is at a lower boundary, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
  • ▲ The ER Level Cross Down often marks a mean-reversion point, supporting the case for a bullish correction.
  • ▲ The signal probability is high (79%) and strength is strong, reflecting robust confluence among the fired indicators.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The higher timeframes (1H to 12H) all show very strong bearish trends (4/5), which could overwhelm the 4H bullish signal and lead to a failed bounce.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.92871 is a nearby ceiling; if the price fails to break it, the bullish move may stall and reverse.
  • ▼ The 4H trend itself is bearish (4/5), so the signal is counter-trend; a loss of momentum or a close below the nearest support at 0.92145 would invalidate the setup.
  • ▼ Watch for the higher-timeframe trend scores to weaken (e.g., drop to 3/5 or lower) as a sign that the bullish signal might gain traction; otherwise, it is likely a temporary correction.
Symbol EUR/CHF
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.92871 2026-10-20
R2 0.93348 2026-10-14
R3 0.93685 2026-10-07
S1 0.92145 2026-10-19

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