EUR/CHF – 4H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.43 %
Entry
0.92023
Target
0.91580 +0.48 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.92871 −0.92 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Break Down, KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, MA Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK Swing
▲ Bullish 20 % (4.57) ▼ Bearish 80 % (18.75)
model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 7 candles
EUR/CHF  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 4h 0%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 3.04
▼ KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 2.94
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.84
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.75
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.57
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.57
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.37
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 1.36
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.29
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.24
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.01
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 0.98
▼ Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.78
▼ Falling Window candlestick 0.64

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Broad bearish confluence: multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, moving averages) all point down.
  • Trend is aligned across all timeframes, with strongest bearish scores in 4H-12H.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 0.92871; a break below could accelerate the decline.
  • No immediate support identified, so expect potential volatility on the downside.
The 4H EUR/CHF signal is firing a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, MA, MIDPOINT). This confluence suggests a strong momentum shift to the downside, with the crossovers and retreats confirming that selling pressure is not just a single indicator but a broad-based move. The candlestick group adds further weight, likely showing bearish patterns that align with the indicator signals.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent and strengthening: from 15m (2/5) up to 4H-12H (4/5), with the 1D also solid at 3/5. This alignment across all timeframes, with the strongest scores in the higher timeframes, indicates that the sell signal is not a short-term wick but part of a broader downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.92871 is the key level to watch; a break below that could open the path lower, but with no immediate support, the move could be volatile. The high probability (85%) and very strong strength underscore the conviction behind this signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with very strong bearish scores in 4H-12H.
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator types (momentum, oscillator, volatility, trend) all firing bearish.
  • ▼ Candlestick patterns add confirmation to the indicator-driven signal.
  • ▼ High probability (85%) and very strong strength indicate high conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ If price fails to break below the nearest resistance at 0.92871, the bearish momentum could stall.
  • ▲ Higher timeframe (1D) shows solid but slightly weaker trend (3/5) than 4H-12H, suggesting possible fading higher up.
  • ▲ No support level identified means the move could be sharp but also prone to quick reversals if buyers step in.
  • ▲ Watch for any bullish divergence in oscillators (e.g., STOCHF or WILLR) that could signal exhaustion.
Symbol EUR/CHF
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 18:20
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.92871 2026-10-20
R2 0.93348 2026-10-14
R3 0.93685 2026-10-07

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