EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL
SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: Double Top, Triple Top, MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div +14 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | Double Topbreak + retest | chart_pattern | 2.97 |
| ▼ | Triple Topbreak + retest | chart_pattern | 2.24 |
| ▼ | MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div | divergence | 2.23 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.06 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Break Down | indicator | 2.04 |
| ▲ | CHOP Trending | indicator | 1.90 |
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.79 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.76 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Cross Down | indicator | 1.74 |
| ▼ | SMA 200 Break Down | indicator | 1.66 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.55 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▲ | RSI OS Entry | indicator | 1.27 |
| ▼ | APO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.16 |
| ▼ | TRIX Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.13 |
| ▼ | Long Line Bearish | candlestick | 0.99 |
| ▲ | RSX OS Entry | indicator | 0.89 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Massive bearish signal cluster: Double Top, Triple Top, and multiple momentum crossovers all align for a sell.
- Trend is bearish across all timeframes, strongest on 15m/30m, but still forming on higher ones.
- Key resistance at 177.767 caps upside; nearest support at 176.298 is the immediate downside target.
- Very high probability (94%) and very strong strength suggest the move has high conviction.
The broader picture shows a bearish trend still in its early stages on higher timeframes (2H to daily), which may limit the downside potential in the very short term. However, the sheer number of signals and the very strong probability (94%) indicate that sellers are in control. Traders should watch for a break below the nearest support to confirm further weakness, while any bounce from that level could signal a temporary pause. The key risk is the choppy 4H trend, which could introduce sideways consolidation or a countertrend snap-back.
- ▼ Confluence of Double Top and Triple Top patterns on the 1H chart.
- ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (APO, TRIX, STOCHF) all crossing down simultaneously.
- ▼ DEMA and EMA retreats confirm price rejection from resistance levels.
- ▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with no conflicting bullish signals.
- ▲ The 4H timeframe shows a choppy, sideways trend (strength 1/5), which could stall the move.
- ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 177.767 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ RSI oversold entry may already be priced in, risking a short-term bounce.
- ▲ Higher timeframe trends (2H to daily) are still forming, so the downtrend may lack full conviction.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 177.76700 | 2026-10-21 |
| R2 | 177.83400 | 2026-10-21 |
| R3 | 177.92000 | 2026-10-20 |
| S1 | 176.29800 | 2026-10-14 |