EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.36 %
Entry
175.925
Target
175.288 +0.36 %
closes in profit
Stop
177.767 −1.05 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,244 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,244 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 14 × 1h 88%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.26
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.14
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.97
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 1.91
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 1.81
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.80
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.78
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.69
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.67
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 1.40
▲ Southern Doji candlestick 1.16

Trend Context

15M
DOWNExtremely strong trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals align on the 1H chart, with strong confluence across trendline, indicator, and candlestick patterns.
  • The short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) are strongly bearish, while higher timeframes are only trend-forming, suggesting the move may be early.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 177.76700; a break above would signal a potential reversal.
  • The STOCHRSI KD Cross Up hints at a possible short-term bounce within the downtrend.
The EUR/JPY 1H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish triggers, led by a Trendline Break Down and confirmed by multiple retreat and break signals across the DEMA, KAMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, and T3 indicators. The STOCHRSI KD Cross Up adds a short-term counter-move within the broader downtrend, suggesting that while momentum is firmly bearish, a brief pullback may precede further downside. The confluence of trendline, indicator, and candlestick groups strengthens the conviction behind the sell signal, with an 82% probability and strong strength rating.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent but varies in intensity: the 15m and 30m charts show extremely and very strong bearish trends, respectively, while the 1H shows a solid trend. Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish but only trend-forming or choppy, indicating that the larger picture is still developing. The nearest resistance at 177.76700 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish thesis. Support is not defined, so traders should monitor price action for signs of a floor forming.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trend alignment across multiple timeframes, especially the strong bearish momentum on 15m and 30m.
  • ▼ High number of confirming signals (11 total) from different groups, indicating robust confluence.
  • ▼ The trendline break is a classic bearish trigger, often leading to sustained moves when confirmed by other indicators.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) show only trend-forming bearishness, so the larger trend may not be fully established.
  • ▲ The STOCHRSI KD Cross Up suggests a possible short-term upward correction, which could temporarily stall the downside.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 177.76700 would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ With no defined support level, the downside target is unclear, increasing uncertainty about the move's extent.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 88%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.76700 2026-10-21
R2 177.83400 2026-10-21
R3 177.92000 2026-10-20

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