EUR/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.45 %
Entry
176.402
Target
175.613 +0.45 %
closes in profit
Stop
177.920 −0.86 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 782 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 782 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 14 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Down, T3 Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 2h 0%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 2.88
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 2.87
▼ MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 2.86
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 2.58
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.33
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.15
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.07
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.07
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.90
▲ CHOP Trending indicator 1.90
▼ HT SINE Cross Down indicator 1.73
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.72
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.68
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.56
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 1.28
▲ ADX Trend Strong indicator 1.15
▲ KDJ OS Entry indicator 1.06
▲ CTI OS Entry indicator 0.60

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal with high probability and very strong strength across multiple indicators.
  • Trend alignment is mostly consistent, but the 4H timeframe is choppy, so watch for potential consolidation.
  • Key levels: resistance at 177.92000, support at 176.29800; a break below support could accelerate the downtrend.
  • The confluence of moving average retreats and midpoint break down suggests broad-based selling pressure.
The EUR/JPY 2H signal is firmly bearish, with an 87% probability and very strong strength. The confluence of multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) and the midpoint break down indicates a broad-based selling pressure across trend-following indicators. The ADX trend strength confirms the momentum behind the move, while the HT trendline retreat down adds a structural layer to the bearish case. The Fibonacci group likely contributes to identifying key retracement levels, reinforcing the downside bias.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is consistent, with the 15m and 30m showing strong and solid trends respectively, while the 1H, 2H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all show trend forming. The 4H is choppy/sideways, which is the weakest link, suggesting that the higher timeframe is not fully committed to the downtrend yet. The nearest resistance at 177.92000 is the immediate barrier to any upside correction, while the nearest support at 176.29800 is the first target and a potential pivot point. If the support breaks, the bearish case strengthens; if it holds, a bounce could occur.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) all pointing down, indicating strong bearish momentum.
  • ▼ ADX trend strength confirms the trend is robust, not just a minor pullback.
  • ▼ Consistent bearish alignment across most timeframes, with the 15m and 30m leading the way.
  • ▼ HT trendline retreat down adds a structural confirmation to the bearish outlook.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 4H timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could indicate a lack of higher-timeframe support for the downtrend.
  • ▲ The nearest support at 176.29800 is a potential bounce zone; if it holds, the bearish move may stall.
  • ▲ If the price breaks above the 177.92000 resistance, the bearish signal could be invalidated.
  • ▲ Fading momentum in the lower timeframes (e.g., 15m/30m) could signal a pullback or consolidation.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 07:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 177.92000 2026-10-20
R2 177.96800 2026-10-16
R3 178.33800 2026-10-06
S1 176.29800 2026-10-14

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