EUR/JPY – 4H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 09:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.49 %

Entry

175.997

Target

175.141 +0.49 %

closes in profit

Stop

177.968 −1.12 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 477 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 477 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	3.15
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	3.06
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.80
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.55
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.45
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.14
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.04
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.98
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.40
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.23
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.22
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	1.19

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Sell signal on EUR/JPY 4H with very strong probability (89%) and strong trend alignment across timeframes.
Multiple moving averages and trendline retreats confirm bearish momentum.
Nearest resistance at 177.96800 is the key level to watch for potential reversal.
RSI oversold and stochastic cross up may cause short-term bounce, so consider entry timing.

The 4H EUR/JPY signal is strongly bearish, with a very strong probability of 89% and a confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators. The RSI oversold entry and stochastic KD cross up suggest a potential short-term bounce, but the overwhelming bearish alignment across multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) and the retreat from the EMA 50 and HT trendline indicate that sellers are in control. The bearish trend is consistent across all timeframes from 15 minutes up to 1 day, with the strongest conviction in the lower timeframes (15m, 30m) and a solid trend in the 1H and 2H. The 4H timeframe itself is choppy/sideways, which may introduce some noise, but the overall trend structure supports the sell signal.

Key levels to watch: the nearest resistance at 177.96800 is the immediate barrier where any upward move could stall. Since the nearest support is not provided, traders should monitor the price action around this resistance and the trendline levels. The confluence of multiple indicator groups (indicator group) and the strong trend scores across timeframes reinforce the bearish outlook. However, the RSI oversold condition and the stochastic cross up could trigger a corrective bounce, so traders should be cautious about entry timing. The higher timeframe (4H) being choppy suggests that the bearish momentum may be less reliable on that specific timeframe, but the lower timeframes are strongly aligned.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish trend across all timeframes, especially very strong in 15m and 30m.
▼ Confluence of multiple moving average breaks (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) and trendline retreats.
▼ High probability (89%) and very strong signal strength.
▼ Consistent bearish trend scores from 1H to 1D, supporting the sell bias.

Risk Factors

▲ RSI oversold and stochastic cross up could lead to a corrective bounce, invalidating the sell if price pushes above resistance.
▲ 4H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating weaker trend conviction on the signal's own timeframe.
▲ Nearest support is not defined, so there is no clear downside target; price could be vulnerable to sharp moves.
▲ Watch for a break above 177.96800 resistance; that would invalidate the bearish signal.