EUR/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-22 13:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.09 %

Entry

175.806

Target

174.083 +0.98 %

closes in profit

Stop

177.968 −1.23 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 253 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 253 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.65 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 % 20 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down, ALMA Break Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 24 % (6.27) ▼ Bearish 76 % (19.84)

model score 16.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.82
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.80
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.76
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.71
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.63
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.52
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.45
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.45
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.43
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.36
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.29
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.82
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.63
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.53
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.12
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.07
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.06
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.02

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 8H timeframe with high probability (89%).
Multiple moving average breaks and retreats confirm downside momentum.
Short-term timeframes (15m-2H) show very strong bearish trends, supporting the move.
Watch the nearest resistance at 177.96800; a break above would invalidate the bearish case.

The EUR/JPY 8H signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a very strong probability of 89% and a cluster of trend-following indicators confirming a downside move. The ADX Trend Strong indicator points to a robust trend, while multiple moving average breaks (DEMA, EMA, MA) and retreats (EMA 50, KAMA) signal that sellers are in control and momentum is firmly downward. The STOCHRSI KD Cross Up may seem counterintuitive, but in a downtrend it often represents a minor oversold bounce that offers a better entry for sellers, not a reversal signal. The confluence of these indicators across the 8H timeframe suggests a high-conviction bearish setup.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though the strength varies. The 15m to 2H timeframes show solid to very strong trends, indicating that the short-term momentum is firmly bearish. The 4H and 8H are still forming, but the 12H shows solid bearishness, and the 1D is also forming. This alignment means that the move is being driven by shorter-term momentum that is likely to persist, though the higher timeframes are not yet fully committed. The nearest resistance is at 177.96800, which is the level to watch for any potential bounce; a break below recent lows would confirm the bearish thesis, while a move back above that resistance would invalidate it. Without a defined support, the downside is open, but traders should be cautious of overextension.

Catalysts

▼ Consistent bearish alignment across all timeframes, with shorter timeframes showing very strong trends.
▼ Confluence of multiple moving average breaks and retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) indicating strong selling pressure.
▼ ADX Trend Strong signals a well-established trend, increasing confidence in the move.
▼ The STOCHRSI KD Cross Up may provide a better entry for sellers after a minor bounce.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) are only 'trend forming', so the bearish trend may not be fully established and could fade.
▲ The nearest resistance at 177.96800 is the invalidation level; a move above it would negate the signal.
▲ The STOCHRSI KD Cross Up could indicate a short-term bounce, which might temporarily stall the decline.
▲ Lack of a defined support level means the downside is open, but also increases the risk of a sharp reversal if the trend fails.