EUR/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY 8× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.03 %
Entry
1.12053
Target
1.12608 +0.50 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.11806 −0.22 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,244 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,244 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat, KDJ OS Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 14.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 746 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 7%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 2.24
▼ APO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.77
▼ ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down indicator 1.67
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.64
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.62
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.60
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.53
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.52
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.41
▼ MAMA Cross Down indicator 1.41
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 0.92

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Short-term oscillators suggest a possible oversold bounce, but the overall trend is strongly bearish across higher timeframes.
  • The signal is weak (59% probability) and the EMA Death Cross and MAMA Cross Down caution against expecting a sustained reversal.
  • Watch the 1.12608 resistance and 1.12045 support; a break below support invalidates the bounce.
  • This is likely a counter-trend trade; keep position size small and use tight stops.
The EUR/USD 1H signal fires a BUY despite a predominantly bearish trend across all timeframes, with the strongest bearish alignment on the 1D (4/5) and 12H (3/5). The signal is driven by a cluster of short-term oscillators and momentum indicators (APO Zero Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, KDJ OS Exit) that suggest a temporary oversold bounce or a shift in intraday momentum. However, the EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross and MAMA Cross Down, along with the ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down, indicate that the broader structure remains bearish. The signal's low probability (59%) and weak strength, combined with the choppy/sideways trend on the 1H-8H timeframes, suggest this is a counter-trend bounce rather than a confirmed reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12608 and support at 1.12045. A move above resistance would signal a stronger bullish shift, while a break below support would invalidate the bounce and likely resume the bearish trend. The 15m and 30m trends are also bearish, though the 15m shows a solid trend (3/5), which could provide short-term headwinds. Traders should treat this as a tactical scalp within a larger downtrend, with tight risk management and a clear invalidation level.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oscillators (APO, BOP, STOCH, WILLR, KDJ) all indicate oversold conditions or upward momentum shifts, aligning for a bounce.
  • ▲ The 15m trend, while bearish, is solid (3/5) and could be the first to turn, supporting a short-term long.
  • ▲ The proximity of the current price to support (1.12045) may attract buyers, providing a technical basis for the long signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The higher timeframes (12H, 1D) show solid-to-very-strong bearish trends, which could overwhelm any short-term bounce.
  • ▼ The EMA 20/50 Death Cross and ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down confirm the bearish structure, arguing against a sustained move up.
  • ▼ The 1H-8H trends are choppy and sideways, indicating low momentum and a higher chance of a false signal.
  • ▼ A break below the 1.12045 support would invalidate the signal and likely accelerate the downtrend.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12608 2026-10-20
R2 1.12696 2026-10-16
S1 1.12045 2026-10-20
S2 1.11806 2026-10-19
S3 1.11129 2026-10-14

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