EUR/USD – 2H – SELL
SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down +10 more
Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest | fibonacci | 1.97 |
| ▼ | BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down | indicator | 1.94 |
| ▼ | HMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▲ | CCI OB Exit | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▼ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.47 |
| ▼ | KDJ Cross Down | indicator | 1.44 |
| ▼ | DI CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▼ | ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.32 |
| ▼ | HMA Direction Down | indicator | 1.22 |
| ▼ | DM CROSS Cross Down | indicator | 1.20 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.95 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Bearish signal on 2H with 93% probability and very strong strength, backed by multiple indicator cross-downs.
- Trend is bearish from 15m up to 2H, and strongly bearish on 12H and 1D; 4H and 8H remain bullish, adding complexity.
- Key levels: resistance at 1.12608, support at 1.12139; a break below support would confirm downside, reclaim of resistance invalidates.
- Watch for momentum stalls near support, especially if 4H/8H bullish trends reassert.
The alignment of multiple indicators across the 2H and higher timeframes (12H, 1D) provides strong confluence for a bearish continuation. The choppy nature of the lower timeframes suggests potential short-term noise, but the overall trend structure remains bearish. The signal's very strong probability (93%) and strength underscore the conviction of the setup. Traders should watch for a decisive move toward the support level, with a close eye on the bullish 4H and 8H timeframes for any signs of a larger correction. If the 4H and 8H trends flip bearish, the bearish case would be even more robust. Conversely, a bounce off support could signal exhaustion, especially if the higher timeframes reassert bullishness.
- ▼ Dense cluster of bearish indicators (BOP, CCI, DI, DM, STOCHRSI) all firing simultaneously on 2H.
- ▼ Trend alignment across 15m-2H and strong 12H/1D bearish trends support continuation.
- ▼ EMA 200 and BBANDS upper retreat suggest price is pulling back from overextension.
- ▼ Very strong probability and strength scores indicate high conviction in the signal.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are still bullish; if they regain momentum, they could override the 2H bearish signal.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on lower timeframes may lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
- ▲ If price fails to break below support at 1.12139 and bounces, the bearish thesis weakens.
- ▲ A reclaim of the resistance at 1.12608 would invalidate the signal and suggest a false breakdown.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.12608 | 2026-10-20 |
| R2 | 1.12696 | 2026-10-16 |
| R3 | 1.12768 | 2026-10-06 |
| S1 | 1.12139 | 2026-10-21 |
| S2 | 1.11806 | 2026-10-19 |
| S3 | 1.11129 | 2026-10-14 |