EUR/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.25 %
Entry
1.12342
Target
1.11806 +0.48 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12608 −0.24 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 782 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 782 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 14 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 2h 0%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.11
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.97
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 1.94
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.70
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 1.63
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.56
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.36
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.33
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.32
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.22
▼ DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.20
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.95

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signal on 2H with 93% probability and very strong strength, backed by multiple indicator cross-downs.
  • Trend is bearish from 15m up to 2H, and strongly bearish on 12H and 1D; 4H and 8H remain bullish, adding complexity.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.12608, support at 1.12139; a break below support would confirm downside, reclaim of resistance invalidates.
  • Watch for momentum stalls near support, especially if 4H/8H bullish trends reassert.
The EUR/USD 2H signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, and multiple cross-down events across DI, DM, and STOCHRSI. This confluence suggests a strong momentum shift to the downside on the 2H timeframe, reinforced by the EMA 200 Retreat Down and BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, which indicate that price is pulling back from upper bands and the 200-period average. The bearish trend is consistent across the 15m to 2H timeframes, albeit choppy, while the 12H and 1D timeframes show solid and very strong bearish trends, respectively. However, the 4H and 8H timeframes are still bullish, which could act as a counter-trend force. The nearest resistance at 1.12608 and support at 1.12139 define the immediate trading range. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

The alignment of multiple indicators across the 2H and higher timeframes (12H, 1D) provides strong confluence for a bearish continuation. The choppy nature of the lower timeframes suggests potential short-term noise, but the overall trend structure remains bearish. The signal's very strong probability (93%) and strength underscore the conviction of the setup. Traders should watch for a decisive move toward the support level, with a close eye on the bullish 4H and 8H timeframes for any signs of a larger correction. If the 4H and 8H trends flip bearish, the bearish case would be even more robust. Conversely, a bounce off support could signal exhaustion, especially if the higher timeframes reassert bullishness.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Dense cluster of bearish indicators (BOP, CCI, DI, DM, STOCHRSI) all firing simultaneously on 2H.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 15m-2H and strong 12H/1D bearish trends support continuation.
  • ▼ EMA 200 and BBANDS upper retreat suggest price is pulling back from overextension.
  • ▼ Very strong probability and strength scores indicate high conviction in the signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are still bullish; if they regain momentum, they could override the 2H bearish signal.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on lower timeframes may lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▲ If price fails to break below support at 1.12139 and bounces, the bearish thesis weakens.
  • ▲ A reclaim of the resistance at 1.12608 would invalidate the signal and suggest a false breakdown.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 07:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12608 2026-10-20
R2 1.12696 2026-10-16
R3 1.12768 2026-10-06
S1 1.12139 2026-10-21
S2 1.11806 2026-10-19
S3 1.11129 2026-10-14

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