EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-22 11:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %

Entry

1.11982

Target

1.11797 +0.17 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.12560 −0.52 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,246 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,246 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, T3 Break Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 17 % (5.50) ▼ Bearish 83 % (27.37)

model score 15.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.64
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.61
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.59
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.22
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.13
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.93
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.89
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.82
▼	KST Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.49
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.27
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	1.06
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 30m chart align with a strong daily downtrend, making a sell bias likely.
The nearest support at 1.11865 is the immediate downside target; a break could accelerate the move.
Resistance at 1.12560 is the key invalidation level—if price reclaims it, the bearish thesis weakens.
Higher timeframes are mixed, so expect possible choppiness; the 1h and 2h are sideways, and 4h/8h are bullish.

The 30-minute EUR/USD chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and reinforced by a Death Cross on the 20/50 EMAs. The RSI has entered oversold territory, which typically suggests a pullback, but when combined with strong ADX trend strength and multiple retreat patterns (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA), it signals that the downtrend is not only intact but accelerating. The confluence of candlestick, trendline, and indicator groups points to a high-probability sell setup, with the nearest support at 1.11865 as the immediate target and resistance at 1.12560 as the invalidation zone.

Across higher timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish: the 15m, 30m, and 12h timeframes are solidly bearish, while the 1d chart shows a very strong downtrend. However, the 1h and 2h timeframes are choppy and sideways, and the 4h and 8h are actually bullish (albeit weak). This suggests the bearish move is primarily a lower-timeframe event, and the higher-timeframe bullish bias could act as a dampener. The key is to watch whether the 30m trend strengthens (currently 2/5) and whether price can sustain below the 1.12560 resistance. If the 1h and 2h timeframes shift to bearish, the sell signal gains more weight.

Catalysts

▼ Strong trend scores on 15m, 30m, 12h, and 1d timeframes support the bearish direction.
▼ Confluence of trendline, EMA, and retreat signals across multiple indicators.
▼ ADX trend strength confirms momentum behind the move.
▼ The Death Cross on the 20/50 EMAs adds a classic bearish trigger.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4h and 8h timeframes are bullish, which could counter the lower-timeframe bearish pressure.
▲ RSI oversold entry may lead to a short-term bounce before continuation.
▲ If price reclaims the 1.12560 resistance, the sell signal is invalidated.
▲ The 1h and 2h trends are choppy/sideways, indicating possible consolidation rather than a clean downtrend.