GBP/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 10:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.22 %

Entry

209.869

Target

208.359 +0.72 %

closes in profit

Stop

211.990 −1.01 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,244 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,244 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, SMA 200 Break Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	3.00
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.90
▼	SMA 200 Break Down	indicator	2.82
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.83
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNExtremely strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signal on GBP/JPY 1H with very strong strength and 96% probability.
Multiple indicators align: STOCH cross, moving average retreats, and SMA 200 break.
Lower timeframes (15m-1h) strongly bearish; higher timeframes (8h, 1d) still bullish.
Key levels: resistance at 211.99000, support at 208.35900.

The 1H SELL signal on GBP/JPY is backed by a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including a Stochastic KD Cross Down, multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA), a MAMA price break down, and a break below the SMA 200. This confluence suggests a broad-based shift in momentum, with the probability rated at 96% and strength very strong. The alignment across lower timeframes reinforces the signal: the 15m, 30m, and 1h charts all show bearish trends, with the 15m and 30m exhibiting extremely strong and very strong trends respectively. However, the higher timeframes are less supportive, with the 8h and 1d still bullish, indicating that this is likely a short-term bearish move within a larger uptrend.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 211.99000 and support at 208.35900. A break below the support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of the resistance could invalidate the signal. The trend scores show a clear progression from strong bearishness on lower timeframes to weaker or even opposite signals on higher ones, suggesting that traders should be cautious about the duration of this move. The signal's strength and the number of confirming indicators make it a high-confidence entry point for short-term trades, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant careful risk management.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 9+ bearish indicators on the 1H timeframe.
▼ Strong bearish trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes.
▼ Break below SMA 200 and MAMA price break down add technical weight.
▼ Very strong trend scores on lower timeframes support immediate downside.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 1d) are bullish, which could limit the downside or cause a reversal.
▲ If price reclaims the 211.99000 resistance, the bearish signal may be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the 2H and 4H trends fail to strengthen beyond 'forming'.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on 8h and 12h may lead to consolidation rather than a sustained move.