GBP/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.20 %
Entry
210.096
Target
208.359 +0.83 %
closes in profit
Stop
210.964 −0.41 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 13 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – vs previous candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +16% Intraday
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (29.78)
model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 14 candles
GBP/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 14 × 2h 100%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.51
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.46
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.28
▼ EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross indicator 2.22
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.20
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.02
▼ ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down indicator 1.89
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.66
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.62
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.49
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.28
▼ Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 1.20
▼ Last Engulfing Top candlestick 1.18
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick 1.13
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 1.08
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.97
▼ Bearish Meeting Lines candlestick 0.95

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence on the 2H timeframe with multiple indicator groups firing.
  • Trend is bearish across 15m to 4h, but higher timeframes are choppy or bullish, so this may be a corrective move.
  • Key levels: support at 208.35900 and resistance at 210.96400; watch for breaks or bounces.
  • The 97% probability and very strong strength suggest high conviction, but always manage risk.
The GBP/JPY 2H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, DEMA and EMA Retreat Downs, a 20/50 EMA Death Cross, and multiple MAMA/MIDPOINT/MIDPRICE Retreat Downs. This confluence suggests strong selling pressure at the 2H timeframe, with the 97% probability and 'very strong' strength reflecting the alignment of momentum, trend, and moving average signals. The bearish trend is consistent across the 15m to 4h timeframes, with solid trends on the 30m and 1h, reinforcing the immediate downside bias. However, the 8h and 12h are only choppy/sideways, and the 1d is bullish, indicating that the longer-term trend is not yet bearish, so this may be a corrective move within a larger bullish structure.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 208.35900, which if broken would confirm the bearish momentum and open the door for further declines. The nearest resistance at 210.96400 is the immediate upside barrier; a reclaim of that level would signal that the bearish pressure is fading. The trend alignment across the lower timeframes supports the sell signal, but the conflicting higher timeframe (1d bullish) and the choppy 8h/12h trends are a caution. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and watch for any reversal signals such as a bullish engulfing or a bounce off support, which could invalidate the bearish outlook.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple bearish indicators firing together (BOP, STOCHRSI, DEMA, EMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) create strong confluence.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes supports the bearish direction.
  • ▼ The 20/50 EMA Death Cross adds to the bearish momentum, confirming the downtrend.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 210.96400 is not far above, and price is likely below it, keeping the bias lower.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 1D timeframe is bullish, which could mean the sell signal is a pullback within a larger uptrend.
  • ▲ The 8H and 12H trends are choppy/sideways, indicating lack of a strong longer-term bearish trend.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 210.96400, the bearish signal could be invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the STOCHRSI or BOP indicators reverse, leading to a potential bounce off support.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 100%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-22 18:20
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 210.96400 2026-10-16
S1 208.35900 2026-10-14
S2 208.19400 2026-10-08
S3 207.58600 2026-10-01

Tags

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