GBP/USD – 12H – BUY

BUY NEW
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.27 %
Entry
1.34071
Target
1.35678 +1.20 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.31369 −2.02 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 9
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,396 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 5,396 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Up, T3 Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −4.4 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +10% Position
▲ Bullish 100 % (26.04) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)
model score 13.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 4 candles
GBP/USD  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 4 × 12h 14%
conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.67
▲ T3 Retreat Up indicator 2.26
▲ MAMA PRICE Retreat Up indicator 2.12
▲ CHOP Trending indicator 2.04
▲ DX Trend Strong indicator 1.96
▲ ALMA Retreat Up indicator 1.89
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.84
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.62
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.73

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPSolid trend
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on the 12H timeframe with multiple confirming indicators.
  • Trend is bullish across all timeframes, but lower timeframes are choppy—expect possible pullbacks.
  • Key level to watch: nearest resistance at 1.35678; a break above would confirm bullish momentum.
  • Nearest support at 1.31369 is the invalidation level; losing it would undermine the signal.
The GBP/USD 12H signal has fired a strong cluster of bullish indicators, led by a BOP Zero Cross Up and a very strong DX Trend reading. The simultaneous STOCHRSI KD Cross Up and the retreat of multiple moving averages (EMA 200, MAMA, T3, ALMA) from price action point to a broad-based shift in momentum and trend structure. With CHOP also trending, the higher timeframes are aligning in favor of the bullish case, and the 4H timeframe already shows a solid trend while the 12H is forming one. This confluence suggests the pair is building upward pressure, and the nearest resistance at 1.35678 becomes the first key hurdle to watch.

Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent from 15m up to 1D, though the lower timeframes (15m-1h) are choppy and sideways, which can produce short-term noise. The 2H and 4H timeframes show more defined trend formation, with the 4H already at a solid trend score. This alignment across higher timeframes supports the signal's strength, but the choppiness in the lower timeframes means the move may not be smooth. The nearest support at 1.31369 is a critical invalidation zone; if price falls back toward that level, the bullish thesis weakens. Traders should watch for a break above 1.35678 to confirm momentum, while a failure to hold above support could signal a false start.
Catalysts
  • ▲ High-probability (100%) and very strong signal with multiple indicator confirmations (BOP, DX, STOCHRSI, moving averages).
  • ▲ Trend alignment across all timeframes, with the 4H already showing a solid trend.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicate fresh bullish momentum.
  • ▲ Retreat of multiple moving averages (EMA 200, MAMA, T3, ALMA) suggests price is pushing away from key dynamic levels.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are choppy and sideways, which could lead to short-term whipsaws.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 1.35678 may act as a ceiling; a failure to break it could stall the trend.
  • ▼ If price drops below nearest support at 1.31369, the bullish signal is invalidated.
  • ▼ The 12H trend is only 'forming' (2/5); it may not yet be mature enough to sustain a strong move.
Symbol GBP/USD
Timeframe 12H
Direction BUY
Conviction 14%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-21 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.35678 2026-09-09
R2 1.36753 2026-08-21
S1 1.31369 2026-10-14

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