GBP/USD – 8H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-22 05:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

1.33734

Target

1.31369 +1.77 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.35678 −1.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 48 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 256 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 256 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.65 % 28 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.40 % 20 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 24 % (4.75) ▼ Bearish 76 % (15.19)

model score 76.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 585 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.35
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.34
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.31
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.96
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.92
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.82
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.79
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.41
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.40
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.39
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	1.33
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.27
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.07

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

8H timeframe shows a strong bearish signal cluster from overbought conditions.
Higher timeframes (4H–1D) remain bullish, so this may be a pullback, not a reversal.
Watch the 1.31369 support — a break confirms bearish momentum; a hold could see a bounce.
Short-term timeframes are bearish but weak, so confirmation is needed.

The 8H GBP/USD signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators — BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, SMA 200 Retreat Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, AO Saucer Bearish, and ER Level Cross Down — all pointing to a strong sell-off from overbought conditions. The confluence of oscillator exits (CCI, Williams %R) and trend-following crossovers (BOP, STOCH) suggests momentum has decisively shifted lower on the 8H timeframe. However, the higher timeframes (4H through 1D) remain bullish, creating a conflict: this 8H signal may represent a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a trend reversal.

Key levels to monitor are resistance at 1.35678 and support at 1.31369. A break below the nearest support would confirm bearish continuation, while a hold above it could see the pullback stall. The 15m–2H timeframes are all bearish but weak (trend scores 1–2/5), indicating the short-term trend is still forming and lacks strong conviction. The 4H bullish trend (3/5) is the strongest higher-timeframe signal, so traders should watch for a bounce if the 8H bearish momentum fades near support.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple oscillator exits (CCI, WILLR) and crossovers (BOP, STOCH) on the 8H.
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicates price pulling back from a key moving average.
▼ AO Saucer Bearish and ER Level Cross Down add to the bearish pattern.
▼ Short-term timeframes (15m–2H) all align bearish, supporting the 8H signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H–1D) are bullish, which could overpower the 8H bearish move.
▲ Short-term trend scores are weak (1–2/5), so the bearish trend is not firmly established.
▲ A bounce off the 1.31369 support would invalidate the bearish continuation.
▲ If the 8H signal is just a pullback, the bullish 4H trend may resume.