NZD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY 11× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.14 %
Entry
0.56796
Target
0.57104 +0.54 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.56532 −0.46 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, HMA Retreat Up, CCI OS Exit +9 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 585 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
NZD/USD  ·  1H
Loading…
Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 7%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 2.24
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 2.09
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.87
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.75
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.74
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.42
▲ Long Line Bullish candlestick 1.42
▼ ADXR Trend Weak indicator 1.25
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.08
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.07
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 0.99
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 0.90
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 0.89

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
UPSolid trend
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPSolid trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of oversold-exit and momentum-cross signals on the 1H chart points to a bullish reversal attempt.
  • Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, but the daily trend is strongly bearish, so the bounce may be counter-trend.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 0.57104 for confirmation; a break above would strengthen the bullish case.
  • The nearest support at 0.56717 is the invalidation line — losing it would negate the signal.
The 1H NZD/USD signal fires a dense cluster of bullish momentum and mean-reversion indicators — ADXR Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, KDJ Cross Up, and HMA Retreat Up — alongside five additional triggers. Together they suggest that a short-term oversold condition is correcting and that buying pressure is building on the hourly chart. The confluence of multiple retreat-up signals from dynamic bands and moving averages adds weight to the idea that the recent downtrend is losing steam and a bounce is underway.

However, the higher-timeframe backdrop is mixed. The 4H, 8H, and 12H trends are bullish, with the 4H and 12H rated as solid, which supports the idea that the hourly reversal could be the start of a larger up-move. Yet the 30M, 1H, and 2H trends are still bearish, and the 1D trend is strongly bearish. This suggests that while the immediate momentum is shifting, the broader daily structure remains under pressure. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.57104 and support at 0.56717 — a break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold-exit indicators (CCI, WILLR) aligning with BOP zero cross-up suggests strong buying pressure at the lows.
  • ▲ Retreat-up signals from BBANDS, EMA 200, and HMA indicate that dynamic bands and moving averages are turning in favor of buyers.
  • ▲ The 4H and 12H solid bullish trends provide a higher-timeframe tailwind for the hourly reversal.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1D trend is very strongly bearish, which could overpower the shorter-term bullish momentum.
  • ▼ The 30M, 1H, and 2H trends are still bearish, meaning the reversal is not yet confirmed across all short timeframes.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above the 0.56717 support, the signal would be invalidated and the bearish trend could resume.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.57104 is close, and a rejection there could trap the bounce.
Symbol NZD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.57104 2026-10-22
S1 0.56717 2026-10-21
S2 0.56532 2026-10-20
S3 0.56408 2026-10-16

Tags

Similar Signals