NZD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 10:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.32 %

Entry

0.56770

Target

0.56532 +0.42 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.57104 −0.59 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,244 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,244 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Top, Rising Wedge, BBANDS LOWER Break Down +17 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 15.0 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 585 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Topbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.61
▼	Rising Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.37
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	3.02
▼	Williams %R Regular Bear Div	divergence	2.92
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.72
▼	Momentum Regular Bear Div	divergence	2.70
▼	MACD Regular Bear Div	divergence	2.66
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.63
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.40
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.36
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.36
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.35
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.26
▼	SUPERTREND Flip Bearish	indicator	1.94
▼	TSI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.92
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.85
▼	MACD Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.80
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.78
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.54
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.52
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.45
▼	Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	0.98
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	0.88

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 1H signal is strongly bearish with high probability, driven by multiple patterns and indicators.
Bearish momentum is immediate, but higher timeframes (2H-12H) are bullish, creating a conflict.
Watch key levels: resistance at 0.57104 and support at 0.56717 for confirmation or invalidation.
The overall trend across timeframes is mixed, so caution is advised despite the strong signal.

The 1H NZD/USD signal is strongly bearish (93% probability, very strong), driven by a confluence of chart patterns and indicators: a Double Top and Rising Wedge on the higher timeframe, reinforced by AROON Strong Downtrend, DX Trend Strong, MACD Zero Cross Down, and a DEMA Retreat Down. The bearish momentum is supported by a breakdown below the lower Bollinger Band and a bearish STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, which together suggest persistent downside pressure in the short term.

However, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, with the 4H and 12H showing solid trends, while the 1D is strongly bearish. This creates a mixed picture: the immediate bearish pressure is strong, but it is fighting against a broader bullish trend. Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.57104 and support at 0.56717. A break below support would confirm the bearish case, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of chart patterns (Double Top, Rising Wedge) and indicator signals (AROON, DX Trend, MACD) all pointing bearish.
▼ Breakdown below the lower Bollinger Band suggests momentum is strong.
▼ The 1D timeframe is strongly bearish, providing a higher-timeframe tailwind for the sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H-12H) are bullish, which could counter the bearish pressure and lead to a reversal.
▲ The 15m-1h trends are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clean momentum and potential for whipsaws.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 0.57104, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ The signal strength is very strong, but a conflict with higher timeframes could cause a fade.