USD/CAD – 12H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-22 09:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.00 %

Entry

1.40103

Target

1.37593 +1.79 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.43000 −2.07 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,280 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 5,280 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Break Down, ALMA Break Down, EMA 200 Break Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 27 % (6.09) ▼ Bearish 73 % (16.78)

model score 73.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA 200 Break Down	indicator	3.36
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	3.26
▼	EMA 200 Break Down	indicator	2.75
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.20
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.54

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple moving average breakdowns (SMA 200, EMA 200, ALMA, TEMA, MAMA) confirm a strong bearish shift on the 12H chart.
CCI OS Exit adds weight, indicating the market is transitioning from oversold to a continuation lower rather than a bounce.
Higher timeframes (4H, 2H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish and aligned, supporting the sell signal.
Watch the 1.37593 support as the primary downside target; a break could accelerate the move.

The USD/CAD 12H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicator signals, all confirming a decisive downside move. The CCI OS Exit marks a shift out of oversold conditions, but rather than a bounce, price has broken below both the SMA 200 and EMA 200, with the ALMA, TEMA, and MAMA all retreating lower. This confluence of moving average breakdowns and the CCI exit suggests that the previous trend support has been decisively rejected, and the path of least resistance is lower.

Trend alignment across timeframes is strongly supportive of the bearish case. The 4H timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), with the 2H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all solid (3/5). While the 15m and 30m are only trend-forming and the 1H is choppy, the higher timeframes are clearly in sync with the 12H signal. The nearest resistance sits at 1.43000, a level that now acts as a ceiling for any corrective bounce. The nearest support is at 1.37593, which becomes the key downside target and a critical level to watch for a potential pause or reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of five different moving average breakdowns on the 12H timeframe.
▼ CCI OS Exit aligns with the breakdowns, confirming momentum is shifting downward.
▼ Trend alignment across multiple timeframes, especially the very strong 4H bearish trend.
▼ Resistance at 1.43000 is well-defined, providing a clear invalidation level for the bearish bias.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H timeframe is choppy and sideways, suggesting some near-term consolidation that could slow the downside.
▲ If price reclaims the 1.43000 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The 15m and 30m trends are only forming (2/5), so short-term momentum is not yet fully established.
▲ The nearest support at 1.37593 is not far from current levels; a bounce there could lead to a range-bound market.