USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 08:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.10 %

Entry

1.40174

Target

1.39693 +0.34 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.40821 −0.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,244 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,244 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.43
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.39
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.38
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.32
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.30
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.19
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.94
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.37
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.03
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	0.97
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.79
▼	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish alignment across all timeframes, with the 4H showing the strongest trend.
Momentum (STOCH KD Cross Up) may cause a brief bounce, but the overall trend is down.
Key level to watch: resistance at 1.40821; a break above would weaken the bearish case.
No defined support means the downside is open, but risk management is essential.

The 1H USD/CAD signal is firmly bearish, with a strong 84% probability and a confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators all pointing lower. The STOCH KD Cross Up initially suggests a short-term upward correction, but the overwhelming retreat of multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) and the Bollinger Bands lower band retreat indicate that this is likely a pause within a broader downtrend rather than a reversal. The price is expected to continue lower, with the nearest resistance at 1.40821 acting as a potential invalidation zone if broken.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, with the 4H showing a very strong trend and all other timeframes (15m to 1d) showing solid or forming bearish trends. This multi-timeframe alignment strengthens the conviction in the sell signal. The nearest resistance at 1.40821 is the key level to watch; a break above it would challenge the bearish thesis. Since no support is defined, the downside is open, but traders should manage risk carefully given the lack of a clear target.

Catalysts

▼ Consistent bearish trend across 15m to 1d timeframes, with 4H very strong.
▼ Multiple moving averages (EMA, DEMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) all retreating down, confirming downward momentum.
▼ Bollinger Bands lower band retreat signals continued downside volatility.
▼ High probability (84%) and strong signal strength.

Risk Factors

▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicates a short-term upward correction that could temporarily counter the bearish move.
▲ Nearest resistance at 1.40821 is a potential invalidation level; a break above would signal a trend change.
▲ Momentum divergence between the 1H (trend forming) and higher timeframes could lead to a consolidation phase.
▲ Lack of defined support means the move could be sharp, but also that a reversal could be sudden if resistance breaks.