USD/CAD – 2H – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 09:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.36 %

Entry

1.40324

Target

1.40821 +0.35 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.38549 −1.27 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 782 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 782 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 14 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Up, ULTOSC OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit +12 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.2 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 492 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.88
▲	ULTOSC OS Exit	indicator	1.63
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.61
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.48
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.46
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.44
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.35
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	1.17
▲	Closing Marubozu Bullish	candlestick	1.13
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.01
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	0.97
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.84
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.79

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of oversold-exit signals suggests a strong short-term bounce, but higher timeframes remain bearish.
Watch the 1.40821 resistance—a break above it would signal a more durable reversal.
Support at 1.40323 is the invalidation line; losing it would void the bullish case.
This is a counter-trend trade—expect limited upside unless higher timeframes shift.

The USD/CAD 2H signal fires a cluster of eight oversold-exit and momentum-cross indicators (BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, RSI OS Exit, STOCH OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, ULTOSC OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, ER Level Cross Down) alongside a candlestick group, all pointing to a bullish reversal attempt from deeply oversold conditions. However, the higher timeframes (1H through 1D) remain firmly bearish, with the 4H showing a very strong downtrend (4/5). This creates a classic counter-trend bounce scenario: the 2H signal is firing against the prevailing trend, so the move is likely corrective rather than a full trend flip.

For traders, the immediate levels are critical: resistance at 1.40821 and support at 1.40323. A sustained push above resistance would signal genuine bullish momentum, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the bounce and likely resume the larger downtrend. The confluence of eight oversold-exit signals gives the bounce high probability (93%) in the short term, but the trend alignment across timeframes argues for caution—this is a mean-reversion trade, not a trend-following one.

Catalysts

▲ Eight oversold-exit indicators firing together creates rare confluence, boosting the probability score to 93%.
▲ The candlestick group adds price-action confirmation to the oscillator signals.
▲ The bounce is starting from a deeply oversold state, which often produces sharp corrective moves.
▲ The nearest support at 1.40323 is tight, so the risk/reward for a quick scalp is favorable.

Risk Factors

▼ The 4H timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5), which could easily overwhelm a 2H bounce.
▼ Resistance at 1.40821 is only about 50 pips away, limiting upside potential before hitting a wall.
▼ If the bounce fails to hold above 1.40323, the invalidation is immediate and the bearish trend likely resumes.
▼ Momentum from the oversold exit may fade quickly if higher timeframes do not start to flatten.