USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.03 %
Entry
1.40177
Target
1.40821 +0.46 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.39553 −0.45 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 14.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 746 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 0%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.69
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.60
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.52
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.40
▲ CMO OS Exit indicator 1.38
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.17
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 0.90

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish signals on 30M suggest a short-term bounce, but the higher timeframe trend is bearish.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 1.40821; a break above could extend the bounce, but rejection may resume the downtrend.
  • This is a counter-trend signal; treat it as a tactical long, not a trend reversal.
  • Monitor momentum on the 30M and 1H timeframes for signs of fading strength.
The 30-minute USD/CAD signal fires a cluster of bullish triggers, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO exiting oversold, STOCHF KD Cross Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, ER Level Cross Down, HMA Retreat Up, and a Bullish Harami candlestick pattern. These indicators together suggest a short-term bounce is developing, with momentum shifting from bearish to bullish on the 30M timeframe. However, the broader trend across all higher timeframes (from 15M to 1D) remains firmly bearish, with the 4H showing a very strong bearish trend (4/5). This creates a conflicting picture: the immediate signals point to a potential upward correction, but the higher timeframe trend argues against a sustained reversal.

Key levels to watch include the nearest resistance at 1.40821, which could act as a ceiling for any bounce. Since no nearest support is provided, traders should be cautious about downside risks. The alignment of multiple indicators on the 30M timeframe adds confidence to the short-term bullish signal, but the lack of higher timeframe support means this is likely a counter-trend move. The signal's high probability (84%) and strong strength suggest the bounce may have legs in the short term, but traders should treat it as a tactical opportunity rather than a trend change.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple bullish indicators firing simultaneously on the 30M timeframe (BOP, CMO, STOCHF, HT PHASOR, HMA, Bullish Harami).
  • ▲ High signal probability (84%) and strong strength rating.
  • ▲ The Bullish Harami candlestick pattern adds a price-action confirmation to the indicator cluster.
  • ▲ The ER Level Cross Down suggests a potential shift in market structure.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends are all bearish, with the 4H showing a very strong downtrend (4/5), which could overwhelm the 30M bounce.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 1.40821 may cap upside; failure to break it could lead to a quick reversal.
  • ▼ No defined support level means downside risk is less clear; a break below recent lows could invalidate the signal.
  • ▼ The 1H trend is only 'forming' (2/5), indicating a lack of momentum alignment on that timeframe.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 07:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40821 2026-10-21
R2 1.41125 2026-10-19
R3 1.41128 2026-10-19

Tags

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