USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 12× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.09 %
Entry
1.40195
Target
1.39957 +0.17 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.40821 −0.45 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, HMA Break Down +16 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 7%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 12× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ HT TRENDLINE Break Down indicator 2.76
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 2.72
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 2.69
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.68
▼ MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 2.67
▼ DEMA Break Down indicator 2.66
▼ MA Break Down indicator 2.66
▼ EMA Break Down indicator 2.55
▼ KAMA Break Down indicator 2.49
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 2.33
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.24
▼ MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div divergence 2.16
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 1.86
▼ ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down indicator 1.86
▲ QQE Midline Cross Up indicator 1.75
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.58
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.56
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.53
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.42
▲ CTI OS Entry indicator 1.38
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.35
▲ KDJ OS Entry indicator 1.06
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.91

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple moving-average breakdowns and a MACD cross down align with a very strong bearish signal on USD/CAD.
  • All timeframes are bearish, but the choppy 15m-1h action suggests the trend may be consolidating before the next leg down.
  • Key levels to watch: support at 1.40138 and resistance at 1.40442.
  • Williams %R oversold entry adds momentum confirmation but also raises the risk of a short-term bounce.
The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a MACD Signal Cross Down and confirmed by multiple moving-average breakdowns (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) plus a higher-timeframe trendline break. Williams %R is in oversold territory, which adds a momentum-confluence layer, while the candlestick group contributes to the bearish read. The signal probability is very high at 92%, and the strength is rated very strong, suggesting that the immediate downside momentum is broad-based rather than isolated to a single indicator.

Trend alignment is firmly bearish across all monitored timeframes, from 15 minutes through the daily, with the strongest conviction in the 4-hour window (4/5) and solid 3/5 readings on the 2h, 8h, 12h, and 1d. However, the shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are choppy and sideways, which tempers the immediate follow-through. The nearest resistance sits at 1.40442, with support at 1.40138. A sustained break below support would reinforce the bearish case; a reclaim of resistance would signal invalidation.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong trend scores on the 4h (4/5) and solid 3/5 on 2h, 8h, 12h, and 1d provide multi-timeframe alignment.
  • ▼ A dense cluster of breakdown signals (MACD, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, trendline) confirms the bearish move.
  • ▼ Williams %R oversold entry supports the continuation of downside momentum.
  • ▼ Candlestick group signals add confluence to the technical picture.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are choppy and sideways, which could mean the move is losing near-term momentum.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 1.40442 resistance, the bearish thesis would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Oversold conditions (Williams %R) may trigger a short-term bounce before further downside.
  • ▲ A conflicting higher-timeframe signal (e.g., a bullish reversal pattern) could override the short-term bearish bias.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40442 2026-10-22
R2 1.40821 2026-10-21
R3 1.41125 2026-10-19
S1 1.40138 2026-10-22

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