USD/CAD – 30M – SELL
SELL 12× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Break Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, HMA Break Down +16 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 12× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Break Down | indicator | 2.76 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.72 |
| ▼ | HMA Break Down | indicator | 2.69 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.68 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Break Down | indicator | 2.67 |
| ▼ | DEMA Break Down | indicator | 2.66 |
| ▼ | MA Break Down | indicator | 2.66 |
| ▼ | EMA Break Down | indicator | 2.55 |
| ▼ | KAMA Break Down | indicator | 2.49 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.33 |
| ▼ | EMA 50 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | MACD Hist Hidden Bear Div | divergence | 2.16 |
| ▼ | SMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.10 |
| ▲ | ER Level Cross Up | indicator | 1.86 |
| ▼ | ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down | indicator | 1.86 |
| ▲ | QQE Midline Cross Up | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▼ | MACD Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.58 |
| ▼ | ERI BULL Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.53 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▲ | CTI OS Entry | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.35 |
| ▲ | KDJ OS Entry | indicator | 1.06 |
| ▼ | Spinning Top Bearish | candlestick | 0.91 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Multiple moving-average breakdowns and a MACD cross down align with a very strong bearish signal on USD/CAD.
- All timeframes are bearish, but the choppy 15m-1h action suggests the trend may be consolidating before the next leg down.
- Key levels to watch: support at 1.40138 and resistance at 1.40442.
- Williams %R oversold entry adds momentum confirmation but also raises the risk of a short-term bounce.
Trend alignment is firmly bearish across all monitored timeframes, from 15 minutes through the daily, with the strongest conviction in the 4-hour window (4/5) and solid 3/5 readings on the 2h, 8h, 12h, and 1d. However, the shorter timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are choppy and sideways, which tempers the immediate follow-through. The nearest resistance sits at 1.40442, with support at 1.40138. A sustained break below support would reinforce the bearish case; a reclaim of resistance would signal invalidation.
- ▼ Strong trend scores on the 4h (4/5) and solid 3/5 on 2h, 8h, 12h, and 1d provide multi-timeframe alignment.
- ▼ A dense cluster of breakdown signals (MACD, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, trendline) confirms the bearish move.
- ▼ Williams %R oversold entry supports the continuation of downside momentum.
- ▼ Candlestick group signals add confluence to the technical picture.
- ▲ The 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are choppy and sideways, which could mean the move is losing near-term momentum.
- ▲ If price reclaims the 1.40442 resistance, the bearish thesis would be invalidated.
- ▲ Oversold conditions (Williams %R) may trigger a short-term bounce before further downside.
- ▲ A conflicting higher-timeframe signal (e.g., a bullish reversal pattern) could override the short-term bearish bias.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.40442 | 2026-10-22 |
| R2 | 1.40821 | 2026-10-21 |
| R3 | 1.41125 | 2026-10-19 |
| S1 | 1.40138 | 2026-10-22 |