USD/CHF – 12H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-21 21:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.63 %

Entry

0.81995

Target

0.79494 +3.05 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.83950 −2.38 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,396 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 5,396 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.17 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Momentum Regular Bear Div, MACD Regular Bear Div, AO Regular Bear Div +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Position

▲ Bullish 17 % (5.70) ▼ Bearish 83 % (27.83)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Momentum Regular Bear Div	divergence	2.70
▼	MACD Regular Bear Div	divergence	2.66
▼	AO Regular Bear Div	divergence	2.59
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.76
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.69
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.57
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.35
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.21
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	1.17
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.12

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 12H timeframe with 83% probability and strong strength.
Consistent bearish trend across lower timeframes, especially 15m and 30m, but higher timeframes are only forming or choppy.
Key support at 0.79494 is the main downside target; resistance at 0.83950 is the invalidation zone.
Watch for a potential pullback if higher timeframes fail to confirm the downtrend.

The USD/CHF 12H signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including AROON Strong Downtrend, DX Trend Strong, and multiple retreat-down signals (DEMA, EMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT), alongside a KDJ Cross Down and an HT SINE Zero Cross Up. The confluence of trend, candlestick, and divergence signals points to a well-established downtrend with strong momentum. Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, with the 15m and 30m showing strong to solid trends, while the 4h also holds a solid trend. However, the higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are only forming or choppy, indicating that the longer-term picture is less decisive, and the 2h choppiness adds a note of caution.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.83950 and support at 0.79494. A sustained move lower could see price testing that support zone, but the mixed higher-timeframe signals suggest the trend may face headwinds. The signal's high probability and strong strength, combined with the multi-timeframe alignment, support a bearish outlook, but traders should monitor for a break back above resistance as a potential invalidation.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple retreat-down signals (DEMA, EMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT) confirm downward momentum.
▼ KDJ Cross Down and HT SINE Zero Cross Up add divergence and cycle confirmation.
▼ Strong trend scores on 15m and 30m reinforce near-term bearish pressure.
▼ High signal probability and strength increase confidence in the move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) show only forming or choppy trends, which may limit follow-through.
▲ The 2H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating potential consolidation or reversal risk.
▲ A break above the 0.83950 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ If momentum fades, the move could stall before reaching the support zone.