USD/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL 12× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 16:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.22 %

Entry

0.82264

Target

0.81916 +0.42 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.82589 −0.40 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 50 Break Down, ALMA Break Down, SMA 50 Break Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 12× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA 50 Break Down	indicator	3.22
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.67
▼	SMA 50 Break Down	indicator	2.56
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.44
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.61
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.83

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

All indicators align bearish on the 30-minute chart, with multiple moving average breaks and crossovers.
The 4-hour timeframe shows a solid trend, providing the strongest underlying support for the sell signal.
Key levels: resistance at 0.82589, support at 0.81916; a break below support would confirm the move.
Higher timeframes are still forming or choppy, so the trend is not yet fully established.

The USD/CHF 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing to a decisive shift in momentum. The CMO Zero Cross Down and RSI Midline Cross Down confirm a loss of bullish momentum, while the EMA 200 Retreat Down, EMA 50 Break Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, and SMA 50 Break Down indicate that both fast and slow moving averages are now rolling over. The ER Level Cross Down and ALMA Break Down add further confluence, with additional signals from the fibonacci, indicator, and candlestick groups reinforcing the bearish case. This is a very strong, high-probability setup.

Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, though the trend is still forming on most horizons. The 4-hour chart shows a solid trend (3/5), providing the strongest underlying support, while the 30-minute and 2-hour charts are in the early stages of trend development. The 15-minute, 1-hour, and 1-day timeframes are choppy and sideways, which tempers the overall conviction slightly. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.82589 and nearest support at 0.81916. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would signal a potential reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of 11 signals across indicator, fibonacci, and candlestick groups.
▼ Uniform bearish bias across all timeframes, with the 4-hour chart showing a solid trend.
▼ Multiple moving average breaks (EMA 50/200, SMA 50/200) indicate sustained selling pressure.
▼ High probability (100%) and very strong signal strength suggest high conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ The trend is still forming on most timeframes; choppy conditions on 15m, 1h, and 1d could lead to false breakouts.
▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 0.82589, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum may fade if the 4-hour trend weakens or if a higher timeframe (like 1d) flips to bullish.
▲ Nearby support at 0.81916 could act as a magnet, but a bounce from there would need watching.