USD/CHF – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.31 %
Entry
0.82331
Target
0.83950 +1.97 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.82076 −0.31 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 477 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 477 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, BOP Zero Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.2 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 492 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CHF  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 4h 9%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.60
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.59
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.56
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.52
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.36
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.33
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.30
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.26
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.98
▲ Belt Hold Bullish candlestick 0.83

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of oversold-exit indicators (RSI, STOCH, WILLR, ZSCORE) fired together, signaling a strong bullish reversal on the 4H.
  • The TTM TREND Trend Up and KELTNER retreat add confluence, but the broader 1H-12H trend is still bearish, so this is an early counter-trend signal.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.83950 and support at 0.82178. A break above resistance confirms the reversal; a loss of support invalidates it.
  • Probability is 88% with very strong strength, but the mixed higher timeframe trend warrants caution and confirmation.
The 4H USD/CHF signal fires a dense cluster of bullish indicators after a period of extreme oversold pressure. The BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, and ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit all confirm that selling momentum has been exhausted and that the pair is turning higher. The KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat and ER Level Cross Down add further confirmation of a bottoming process, while the TTM TREND Trend Up (+2 more) indicates that the higher timeframe trend is now aligning with the shorter-term reversal.

However, the broader trend structure remains mixed. While 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish, the 1H through 12H timeframes are still bearish, with the 4H itself showing a solid bearish trend prior to this signal. This suggests the bullish signal may be an early counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.83950 will be a key test; a break above it would confirm the reversal, while failure to hold above the nearest support at 0.82178 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should treat this as a high-probability but early-stage reversal, requiring confirmation from higher timeframes before committing full size.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold-exit indicators (RSI, STOCH, WILLR, ZSCORE) aligned on the same candle, indicating a powerful momentum shift.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and ER Level Cross Down confirm a shift from bearish to bullish pressure.
  • ▲ TTM TREND Trend Up on the 4H suggests the longer-term trend is beginning to turn in favor of the signal.
  • ▲ The retreat from the KELTNER lower band indicates that the selling pressure has been rejected at an extreme level.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes are still bearish; this signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.
  • ▼ If the price fails to hold above the nearest support at 0.82178, the bullish setup is invalidated and the reversal could fail.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.83950 is a nearby opposing level that could cap upside momentum if not broken.
  • ▼ The 1D timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of a strong daily trend to support a sustained move.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 4H
Direction BUY
Conviction 9%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83950 2026-10-14
S1 0.82178 2026-10-16
S2 0.82076 2026-09-21
S3 0.80672 2026-09-09

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