USD/CHF – 4H – BUY
BUY NEW CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, BOP Zero Cross Up +6 more
Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | STOCH KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.60 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Exit | indicator | 1.59 |
| ▼ | ER Level Cross Down | indicator | 1.56 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.52 |
| ▲ | RSI OS Exit | indicator | 1.36 |
| ▲ | ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit | indicator | 1.33 |
| ▲ | KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat | indicator | 1.30 |
| ▲ | TTM TREND Trend Up | indicator | 1.26 |
| ▲ | Bullish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.98 |
| ▲ | Belt Hold Bullish | candlestick | 0.83 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- A dense cluster of oversold-exit indicators (RSI, STOCH, WILLR, ZSCORE) fired together, signaling a strong bullish reversal on the 4H.
- The TTM TREND Trend Up and KELTNER retreat add confluence, but the broader 1H-12H trend is still bearish, so this is an early counter-trend signal.
- Key levels: resistance at 0.83950 and support at 0.82178. A break above resistance confirms the reversal; a loss of support invalidates it.
- Probability is 88% with very strong strength, but the mixed higher timeframe trend warrants caution and confirmation.
However, the broader trend structure remains mixed. While 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish, the 1H through 12H timeframes are still bearish, with the 4H itself showing a solid bearish trend prior to this signal. This suggests the bullish signal may be an early counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.83950 will be a key test; a break above it would confirm the reversal, while failure to hold above the nearest support at 0.82178 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should treat this as a high-probability but early-stage reversal, requiring confirmation from higher timeframes before committing full size.
- ▲ Multiple oversold-exit indicators (RSI, STOCH, WILLR, ZSCORE) aligned on the same candle, indicating a powerful momentum shift.
- ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and ER Level Cross Down confirm a shift from bearish to bullish pressure.
- ▲ TTM TREND Trend Up on the 4H suggests the longer-term trend is beginning to turn in favor of the signal.
- ▲ The retreat from the KELTNER lower band indicates that the selling pressure has been rejected at an extreme level.
- ▼ The 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes are still bearish; this signal may be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.
- ▼ If the price fails to hold above the nearest support at 0.82178, the bullish setup is invalidated and the reversal could fail.
- ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.83950 is a nearby opposing level that could cap upside momentum if not broken.
- ▼ The 1D timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of a strong daily trend to support a sustained move.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.83950 | 2026-10-14 |
| S1 | 0.82178 | 2026-10-16 |
| S2 | 0.82076 | 2026-09-21 |
| S3 | 0.80672 | 2026-09-09 |