USD/CHF – 4H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 13:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.23 %

Entry

0.82264

Target

0.82076 +0.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.83950 −2.05 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 465 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 465 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 31 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.30 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, EMA Retreat Down, MA Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.44
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.87
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.69
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.28
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.28
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.06
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.04
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	0.99

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple indicators and trendlines align on the 4H timeframe, signaling a bearish shift for USD/CHF.
The 4H trend is solid, but lower timeframes are choppy, so the move may be gradual.
Watch the 0.83950 resistance and 0.82178 support; a break of support confirms downside, while reclaiming resistance invalidates.
Moderate strength suggests waiting for confirmation before entering a sell position.

The 4H USD/CHF signal is firmly bearish, with a 74% probability and moderate strength. The confluence of a trendline break down, BOP zero cross down, and CCI exiting oversold territory (CCI OS Exit) points to a shift in momentum. The retreat of multiple moving averages (EMA, MA, SMA) and the BBANDS lower retreat up confirm that sellers are in control, while the HT trendline retreat down adds a structural layer to the bearish case. The higher timeframe trend aligns, with the 4H showing a solid trend (3/5) and the 8H and 12H also bearish, though choppier. The 15m and 1d are choppy, which suggests some near-term noise, but the overall alignment across timeframes supports the sell signal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.83950 and support at 0.82178. A break below support would likely accelerate the move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish thesis. The signal's strength is moderate, so traders should not expect a rapid, high-confidence drop; instead, the move may develop gradually as the trend consolidates. The choppiness on lower timeframes (15m, 1h) and the daily chart (1/5) suggests that the bearish trend is not yet universally strong, so patience and confirmation from price action are advisable.

Catalysts

▼ Trendline break down and BOP zero cross down confirm bearish momentum.
▼ Multiple moving averages retreating (EMA, MA, SMA) and BBANDS lower retreat up show consistent selling pressure.
▼ Higher timeframe alignment: 4H solid trend, 8H and 12H also bearish, supporting the signal.
▼ CCI OS Exit suggests the market is moving out of oversold conditions, often a sign of renewed downside.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 1h) and daily are choppy, indicating possible consolidation or false breakouts.
▲ A reclaim of the 0.83950 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a bounce.
▲ The signal strength is moderate, not strong, so momentum may be limited.
▲ Watch for any divergence in higher timeframes; if the 8H or 12H trend weakens, the sell signal may lose steam.