USD/JPY – 1H – BUY
BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: KDJ OS Exit, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat, ER Level Cross Up +5 more
Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | EMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross | indicator | 2.79 |
| ▲ | KDJ OS Exit | indicator | 2.19 |
| ▲ | ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▲ | ER Level Cross Up | indicator | 1.99 |
| ▲ | HT SINE Cross Up | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▲ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.82 |
| ▼ | KST Signal Cross Down | indicator | 1.75 |
| ▲ | BOP Zero Cross Up | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.70 |
| ▲ | Bullish Harami Cross | candlestick | 1.28 |
| ▲ | Long Legged Doji | candlestick | 1.28 |
| ▼ | ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down | indicator | 0.95 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Bullish signals fired on the 1H, but most timeframes are bearish, so this may be a counter-trend bounce.
- Watch the 158.39100 resistance; a break above could confirm the bullish move, while a drop below 157.69400 support invalidates it.
- The EMA Death Cross on the 1H suggests the broader trend is still bearish, so any long positions should be managed carefully.
- Signals like BOP Zero Cross Up and KDJ OS Exit indicate short-term momentum, but the choppy higher timeframes reduce conviction.
Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 158.39100 and support at 157.69400. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish impulse, while a break below support would invalidate the signal and likely see a continuation of the broader bearish trend. The bullish signals appear to be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, so traders should be cautious about expecting a sustained reversal without confirmation on higher timeframes.
- ▲ Multiple bullish indicators (BOP, STOCHRSI, KDJ, HT SINE) align on the 1H, suggesting a coordinated momentum shift.
- ▲ KDJ OS Exit indicates the pair was oversold, which often precedes a bounce.
- ▲ The 15m and 30m trends are bearish but solid, which could mean the bounce is early; if they turn, it supports the signal.
- ▲ The probability of 67% and moderate strength provide a reasonable edge for the bullish case.
- ▼ The 1H EMA Death Cross suggests a bearish regime, which may cap any upside.
- ▼ Higher timeframes (4H and up) are bearish, so the bullish signal is against the dominant trend.
- ▼ The nearest resistance is close, so the move could stall quickly; if it fails to break above, the signal loses validity.
- ▼ If price breaks below the support at 157.69400, the bullish thesis is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 158.39100 | 2026-10-21 |
| R2 | 158.60300 | 2026-10-20 |
| R3 | 158.94900 | 2026-10-14 |
| S1 | 157.69400 | 2026-10-16 |
| S2 | 157.54600 | 2026-10-15 |