USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.59 %
Entry
157.712
Target
158.391 +0.43 %
closes in profit
Stop
156.167 −0.98 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KDJ OS Exit, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat, ER Level Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 9%
conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross indicator 2.79
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 2.19
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 2.05
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 1.99
▲ HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.87
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.82
▼ KST Signal Cross Down indicator 1.75
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.73
▼ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.70
▲ Bullish Harami Cross candlestick 1.28
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.28
▼ ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down indicator 0.95

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish signals fired on the 1H, but most timeframes are bearish, so this may be a counter-trend bounce.
  • Watch the 158.39100 resistance; a break above could confirm the bullish move, while a drop below 157.69400 support invalidates it.
  • The EMA Death Cross on the 1H suggests the broader trend is still bearish, so any long positions should be managed carefully.
  • Signals like BOP Zero Cross Up and KDJ OS Exit indicate short-term momentum, but the choppy higher timeframes reduce conviction.
The USD/JPY 1H signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, and KDJ OS Exit, suggesting a short-term momentum shift from oversold conditions. However, the broader context is bearish across most timeframes, with the 15m and 30m showing solid or forming trends, while the 1H and higher timeframes are choppy or sideways. The EMA CROSS 50 200 Death Cross on the 1H indicates a longer-term bearish structure, which conflicts with the immediate bullish signals. The signal's moderate strength and 67% probability reflect this mixed backdrop.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 158.39100 and support at 157.69400. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish impulse, while a break below support would invalidate the signal and likely see a continuation of the broader bearish trend. The bullish signals appear to be a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, so traders should be cautious about expecting a sustained reversal without confirmation on higher timeframes.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple bullish indicators (BOP, STOCHRSI, KDJ, HT SINE) align on the 1H, suggesting a coordinated momentum shift.
  • ▲ KDJ OS Exit indicates the pair was oversold, which often precedes a bounce.
  • ▲ The 15m and 30m trends are bearish but solid, which could mean the bounce is early; if they turn, it supports the signal.
  • ▲ The probability of 67% and moderate strength provide a reasonable edge for the bullish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 1H EMA Death Cross suggests a bearish regime, which may cap any upside.
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (4H and up) are bearish, so the bullish signal is against the dominant trend.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance is close, so the move could stall quickly; if it fails to break above, the signal loses validity.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the support at 157.69400, the bullish thesis is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 9%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.39100 2026-10-21
R2 158.60300 2026-10-20
R3 158.94900 2026-10-14
S1 157.69400 2026-10-16
S2 157.54600 2026-10-15

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