USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 14:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.37 %

Entry

157.259

Target

156.670 +0.37 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.344 −0.69 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.69
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.58
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.35
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.84
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	0.75
▼	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 1H bearish signal is very strong with multiple indicator confirmations, but higher timeframes are mixed.
Resistance at 158.34400 is the key level to watch; a break above it would weaken the bearish case.
Trend alignment across 30m, 1H, and 2H supports the sell, but 8H/12H are choppy and 1D is bullish.
Support is not defined, so downside potential is open but may be limited by broader consolidation.

The 1H USD/JPY signal is firmly bearish with a 93% probability, backed by a dense cluster of retreating indicators (BOP Zero Cross Down, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, SMA) plus additional confirmations. This multi-indicator confluence on the 1H timeframe points to a coordinated downside move, with the trend aligning across the 30m, 1H, and 2H timeframes, all showing solid bearish trends (3/5). The 15m timeframe is still forming a bullish trend, which may offer temporary pullbacks, but the immediate higher timeframes (30m-2h) are in agreement, reinforcing the bearish case.

Key levels to watch: the nearest resistance at 158.34400 serves as a potential ceiling for any counter-trend bounce, while support is undefined, meaning the downside could extend until a new support level is established. However, the higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy and sideways, and the 1D is bullish, which introduces conflicting signals. This suggests the bearish move may be part of a larger consolidation or a corrective pullback rather than a major trend reversal. Traders should monitor the 1H price action against the resistance level and watch for any shift in the higher timeframes to confirm or invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator retreats (BOP, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, SMA) align on the 1H timeframe.
▼ Solid bearish trends on 30m, 1H, and 2H timeframes reinforce the direction.
▼ The 93% probability and 'very strong' strength indicate high confidence in the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are choppy/sideways, and the 1D is bullish, which could counter the bearish move.
▲ A break above the 158.34400 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and suggest a reversal.
▲ The 15m timeframe is still forming a bullish trend, which may lead to short-term bounces against the sell.
▲ With no defined support, the downside could be unpredictable, but a lack of trend on higher timeframes may limit follow-through.