USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 05:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.38 %

Entry

157.327

Target

156.736 +0.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.344 −0.65 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 52 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,216 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,216 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 37 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Top, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout, Trendline Break Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Topbreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.88
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	2.43
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.32
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	2.01
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.75
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.67
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.66
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.61
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.59
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.57
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.27
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.26
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	0.91
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.72
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.67

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal on the 1H chart, with multiple confirmations from trendlines, indicators, and chart patterns.
The trend is bearish across all timeframes except the 1D, which remains mildly bullish, suggesting a potential conflict on the daily scale.
The nearest resistance at 158.34400 is the critical level to monitor; a break above it would weaken the bearish case.
Momentum is strongest on the lower timeframes, so the move may be more reliable for short-term trading.

The USD/JPY 1H signal is heavily bearish, with a 92% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of technical events. The break of a trendline, a Double Top pattern, and a cluster of indicator crossovers (BOP, STOCHF KD, DEMA, EMA) all point to a loss of upside momentum. The RSI oversold entry and the retreat from the higher-timeframe trendline suggest that the move lower is not just a short-term fluke but part of a broader corrective phase.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though the strength varies. The 15m and 30m timeframes show the most conviction, while the 1H and higher timeframes are choppy or sideways, indicating that the downtrend is still in its early stages or facing some consolidation. The 1D timeframe is mildly bullish, which is a caution flag. The nearest resistance at 158.34400 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup, while a failure to hold below it could lead to a bounce.

Catalysts

▼ High probability (92%) and very strong signal strength indicate a high-conviction setup.
▼ Multiple signal groups (trendline, indicator, candlestick, chart pattern) align, providing confluence.
▼ The Double Top and trendline break are classic bearish reversal patterns that often lead to sustained moves.
▼ The RSI oversold entry suggests that momentum is currently with the sellers.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1D timeframe is bullish, which could act as a counter-trend force and limit the downside.
▲ The 1H and higher timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating that the trend is not fully established and could stall.
▲ If price reclaims the broken trendline or breaks above 158.34400, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The RSI oversold condition could lead to a temporary bounce, so traders should watch for a reversal pattern.