USD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 11:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.08 %

Entry

157.067

Target

158.603 +0.98 %

closes in profit

Stop

155.030 −1.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 782 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 782 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 14 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CMO OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, ADXR Trend Strong +6 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 17.5 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 446 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	2.30
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.15
▲	ADXR Trend Strong	indicator	2.08
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.65
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.47
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.10
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.07

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish indicators fired on the 2H, but higher timeframes are bearish—treat this as a potential counter-trend move.
Key resistance at 158.60300 is the confirmation level; a break above would strengthen the bullish case.
Support at 156.95100 is the invalidation level; a drop below would negate the signal.
The 4H and 8H trends are only forming or choppy, so the bullish momentum may be early and fragile.

The USD/JPY 2H signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators—ADXR Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ OS Exit, and HMA Retreat Up—all pointing to a strong upward move from oversold conditions. However, the trend across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with solid bearish trends on the 15m through 2h charts and only a forming bearish trend on the 4h. This creates a conflict: the 2H signal suggests a bullish reversal, but the higher timeframes are not yet aligned, and the 1D is only choppy/sideways bullish. The nearest resistance at 158.60300 is a key level to watch; a break above would confirm the bullish signal, while a rejection could invalidate it. Support at 156.95100 is the invalidation level if price falls below it.

The confluence of multiple oversold-exit and trend-strength indicators provides a strong case for a short-term bounce, but the bearish higher timeframes argue for caution. The signal's high probability (92%) and very strong strength suggest the momentum is building, yet the lack of alignment across timeframes means the move may be a corrective rally within a larger downtrend. Traders should watch for a break above 158.60300 to confirm the reversal, and monitor the 4H and 8H trends for signs of shifting to bullish. If price fails to hold above the support at 156.95100, the bullish case weakens significantly.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold-exit signals (CMO, WILLR, KDJ) and a zero-cross up on BOP suggest strong buying pressure from extreme lows.
▲ ADXR Trend Strong and HMA Retreat Up indicate that the trend is gaining strength within the 2H timeframe.
▲ The high probability (92%) and very strong strength of the signal add weight to the bullish case.
▲ The nearest resistance is relatively close (158.60300), and a break above could trigger a short squeeze.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (15m-2H) are all bearish, so the bullish signal is against the prevailing trend—this could be a false reversal.
▼ The 4H trend is only 'forming' bearish, meaning it could either confirm the bearish trend or flip to bullish; watch for confirmation.
▼ If price fails to break above 158.60300 and instead falls below 156.95100, the signal is invalidated.
▼ The 1D trend is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction on the daily scale.