USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-10-22 08:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.10 %

Entry

157.075

Target

156.343 +0.47 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.603 −0.97 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 715 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 715 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down, ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout +10 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 26,397 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 14 % (4.99) ▼ Bearish 86 % (29.68)

model score 85.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	TEMA Break Down	indicator	2.76
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.31
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.74
▼	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	1.71
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.69
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.65
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.54
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.45
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.43
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout	indicator	1.35
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.32
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.27
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.90
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	0.66

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 2H with 85% probability and very strong strength.
Multiple moving average retreats confirm a synchronized downward move.
Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are strongly bearish, supporting the sell bias.
Key levels: support at 156.95100, resistance at 158.60300.

The USD/JPY 2H signal is firmly bearish, with a very strong probability of 85% and a cluster of retreat signals across multiple moving averages and trendlines. The confluence of RSI oversold entry with DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, and TEMA retreats points to a synchronized downward move. The bearish trend is consistent across the lower timeframes, with the 15m and 30m showing solid to very strong bearish trends, while the 1H and 2H are forming. The higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are choppy but still bearish, suggesting that the bearish momentum is building from the lower timeframes upward. The 1D is bullish but choppy, indicating a potential higher-timeframe conflict that could cap the downside.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest support at 156.95100 and resistance at 158.60300. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. The clustering of retreat signals and the alignment across 15m to 2H support the sell bias, but the choppy higher timeframes and the bullish 1D trend warrant caution. Traders should watch for any shift in the 1H or 2H trend strength, as a reversal there could signal a fade in momentum.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of retreat signals across DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, and TEMA.
▼ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 1H, and 2H all bearish.
▼ RSI oversold entry may indicate momentum for a continued move lower.
▼ Strong trend scores on lower timeframes (4/5 and 3/5).

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are choppy and only mildly bearish, reducing conviction.
▲ The 1D timeframe is bullish, which could act as a counter-trend force.
▲ Watch for a reclaim of resistance at 158.60300, which would invalidate the signal.
▲ If lower timeframes start to lose bearish momentum, the trade may stall.