USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 07:30 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.08 %

Entry

157.238

Target

158.251 +0.64 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.458 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Break Up, CMO OS Exit, STOCH OS Exit +7 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 17.5 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 446 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ZLMA Break Up	indicator	2.56
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	2.08
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	2.07
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	2.07
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.97
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.89
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.57
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.48
▲	High Wave Bullish	candlestick	1.03

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong cluster of oversold-exit and upward-cross signals on the 30m chart suggests a short-term bullish bounce is likely.
The broader trend across higher timeframes is bearish, so this buy signal is counter-trend and may be limited in scope.
Watch the nearest resistance at 158.25100; a break above it could extend the move, while rejection would likely resume the downtrend.
No clear support level is defined, increasing the risk of a rapid reversal if the bounce fails.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal has fired a cluster of oversold-exit indicators (CCI, CMO, STOCH) alongside a BBANDS lower-band retreat, HT PHASOR inphase cross, SMI signal cross, HMA retreat, and ZLMA break upward. This confluence points to a short-term bullish reversal attempt within a broader bearish context. The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability reflect the alignment of multiple independent oscillators and trend-following tools, all suggesting that downside momentum has stalled and a bounce is underway.

However, the higher timeframes are predominantly bearish, with the 15m and 30m trends showing solid bearish trends (4/5 and 3/5 strength), and the 1h/2h trends still forming bearish. Only the 1d timeframe is bullish but choppy. This means the bullish signal is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend, and its sustainability is questionable. The nearest resistance at 158.25100 is a key level to watch; a failure to break above it would likely see the reversal fade. The absence of a defined support level adds uncertainty, as there is no clear floor to gauge invalidation.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold-exit signals (CCI, CMO, STOCH) firing simultaneously indicate strong downside exhaustion.
▲ BBANDS lower-band retreat and HMA/ZLMA upward crosses add confluence for a bullish reversal.
▲ HT PHASOR inphase cross and SMI signal cross further support the momentum shift.
▲ The signal's very strong strength and 100% probability reflect high internal consistency.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) are all bearish, suggesting the bullish signal is counter-trend and likely to be short-lived.
▼ The nearest resistance at 158.25100 is a nearby ceiling; failure to break it would invalidate the bullish bias.
▼ The lack of a defined support level means there is no clear invalidation point, increasing uncertainty.
▼ The 4h and higher timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong trend support for a sustained move.