USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 12× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-22 10:30 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.04 %

Entry

156.883

Target

156.599 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.251 −0.87 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,376 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,376 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 12× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.20
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.92
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.02

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal cluster on the 30m chart with a 92% probability.
Trend is aligned bearish on lower timeframes (15m-1h), but higher timeframes are mixed.
Key resistance at 158.25100 is the invalidation level; watch for a break above.
No clear support below, so downside may be open but beware of a bounce.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing to a strong sell-off. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates a shift in buying pressure, while the simultaneous retreats of multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) confirm a broad-based downward push. The STOCH KD Cross Up might seem contradictory, but in a downtrend it often signals a short-term oversold bounce that is being overridden by the dominant bearish momentum. With a 92% probability and 'very strong' strength, the immediate bias is clearly lower.

Trend alignment is strongest on the lower timeframes: 15m, 30m, and 1h are all solidly bearish, with the 2h and 4h starting to form a bearish trend. However, the 8h and 12h are choppy and sideways, and the 1d is actually bullish, so the bearish move is likely a short-term correction within a larger range. The nearest resistance at 158.25100 is the key level to watch – a break above it would invalidate the bearish thesis. Since there is no defined support below, the downside could be open, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher timeframe and the potential for a bounce from oversold conditions.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving average retreats confirm a broad-based downward move.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicates a shift in buying pressure.
▼ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes supports the bearish direction.
▼ Signal strength is 'very strong' with a high probability.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe (1d) is bullish, suggesting the bearish move may be a correction.
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up could signal a short-term oversold bounce.
▲ No support below means the move could be volatile; a break above 158.25100 would invalidate the signal.
▲ Momentum may fade if the 2h and 4h trends fail to strengthen.