USD/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW CLOSED

2026-10-22 09:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.44 %

Entry

157.067

Target

158.603 +0.98 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.376 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 477 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 477 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

26 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 18 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.4 % on average · stopped out 17.5 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 446 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.34
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.99
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.88
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.71
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.27
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.26
▲	Southern Doji	candlestick	0.87

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish signal on 4H with multiple indicators aligning, but lower timeframes are bearish, indicating a potential counter-trend move.
Key levels: resistance at 158.603, support at 156.951; watch for a break above resistance or a drop below support.
The 4H trend is forming, but the 1D bullish choppy trend offers some longer-term support; overall trend alignment is mixed.
Signal strength is very high (86%), but caution is advised due to conflicting trends across timeframes.

The 4H USD/JPY signal is firing a confluence of bullish indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, and a Bullish Harami candlestick pattern, alongside a Southern Doji. The SMA 200 Retreat Up and HT SINE Zero Cross Down further support the bullish case, while the HT TRENDMODE shifting to Trend suggests a potential regime change on the 4H timeframe. However, the broader trend across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with solid bearish trends on the 15m through 2H timeframes, and only a forming 4H trend. The 1D timeframe is bullish but choppy, offering some longer-term support. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.603 and support at 156.951; a break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a drop below support would invalidate it.

Given the very strong signal strength (86% probability) but the conflicting bearish trends on lower timeframes, this signal appears to be a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure. The confluence of multiple indicators on the 4H suggests a meaningful reversal attempt, but the lower timeframe bearish trends could weigh on momentum. Traders should monitor whether the 4H trend continues to form and whether price can sustain above the support level. The 1D bullish choppy trend provides some backdrop, but the immediate path is uncertain. The invalidation level is the nearest support at 156.951; a close below this would negate the bullish signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicators firing together on the 4H timeframe (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, candlestick patterns) increases confluence.
▲ HT TRENDMODE shifting to Trend suggests a potential shift from sideways to trending conditions on 4H.
▲ The 1D timeframe is bullish, albeit choppy, providing a longer-term supportive backdrop.
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicates price moving away from the 200-period SMA, often a sign of strengthening momentum.

Risk Factors

▼ Lower timeframes (15m-2H) are in solid bearish trends, which could pull price back down and invalidate the 4H signal.
▼ The 4H trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so the bullish case is not yet fully established; a failure to sustain above support would weaken it.
▼ Nearest resistance at 158.603 may act as a ceiling; if price fails to break through, the bullish move could stall.
▼ The overall multi-timeframe trend is predominantly bearish, suggesting the bullish signal might be a temporary correction within a larger downtrend.