XRP/USDT – 30M – SELL
SELL 1× UPDATEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.
Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down +5 more
Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened
(22 Oct 2026, 09:02 UTC, updated 1× since).
They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by
candle on this page until it closes.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.93 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Break Down | indicator | 2.91 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.91 |
| ▼ | HMA Break Down | indicator | 2.86 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 2.82 |
| ▼ | T3 Break Down | indicator | 2.81 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Break Down | indicator | 2.66 |
| ▼ | Trendline Break Downbreak + retest | trendline | 2.58 |
| ▲ | STOCHF KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▲ | ER Level Cross Up | indicator | 1.36 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Multiple bearish indicators on the 30M chart align with solid bearish trends across several timeframes, suggesting strong short-term downside momentum.
- The signal is very strong (90% probability), but higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 1D) are bullish, creating a conflict that could limit the move.
- Watch the nearest support at 1.29020; a break below it would confirm the bearish signal, while a hold could trigger a bounce.
- The nearest resistance at 1.39920 is the key level to reclaim if the bearish momentum fades.
However, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, and 1D) are currently bullish, with the 2H and 4H showing solid and forming trends respectively. This creates a conflict between the immediate bearish pressure and the larger bullish structure. Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.39920 and support at 1.29020. The bearish signal suggests a push toward support, but the higher timeframe bullish bias could limit the downside or cause a reversal if the support holds. Traders should watch for a break below support to confirm the bearish case, or a bounce off support that would invalidate the short-term signal.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple breakdown signals (Trendline, EMA 200, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, T3) on the 30M timeframe.
- ▼ Trend alignment across 15M, 30M, 1H, 8H, and 12H all showing solid bearish trends (3/5).
- ▼ STOCHF KD Cross Up and ER Level Cross Up add momentum to the bearish case.
- ▼ High probability (90%) and very strong strength rating on the signal.
- ▲ Higher timeframe bullish trends (2H, 4H, 1D) may act as a counter-trend, potentially limiting the downside or causing a reversal.
- ▲ If the price holds the support at 1.29020, the bearish signal could be invalidated, leading to a bounce toward resistance.
- ▲ Fading momentum on lower timeframes could stall the move, especially if the 15M trend weakens.
- ▲ Nearby resistance at 1.39920 is a significant level; a reclaim of that level would negate the bearish setup.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.39920 | 2026-10-21 |
| S1 | 1.29020 | 2026-10-20 |
| S2 | 1.28650 | 2026-10-20 |
| S3 | 1.25620 | 2026-10-18 |