ADA/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-23 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −2.31 %

Entry

0.2161

Target

0.2336 +8.10 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.2111 −2.31 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,586 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,586 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.97 % 20 % at stop avg −3.84 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Direction Up, STOCH OS Exit, HMA Retreat Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.0 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 31.6 % vs 22.4 % (crypto, 1,831 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 04:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.90
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.79
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.72
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.70
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.50
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.33
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.33
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.32
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.16
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong oversold bounce signal on the 4H chart, but it's counter-trend against higher timeframes.
Watch the 0.23360 resistance—a break above would add credibility; rejection would confirm the bounce is weak.
The 0.21110 support is the invalidation level; a close below it negates the bullish signal.
Momentum is shifting up on lower timeframes, but the macro trend remains bearish.

The 4H ADA/USDT signal is a confluence of oversold-exit and momentum-reversal indicators, firing together with 82% probability and strong strength. The BOP zero cross up, CCI, STOCH, and WILLR all exiting oversold territory, alongside the BBANDS lower retreat up and HMA retreat up, point to a short-term bounce off the lows. The HT PHASOR inphase cross down and ER level cross down add a cyclical and efficiency-ratio confirmation, suggesting the selling pressure is exhausting.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish, the 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bearish. This means the signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.23360 is a critical barrier; a failure to break above it would likely see the bounce fade. The nearest support at 0.21110 is the invalidation zone—if price falls below this, the bullish thesis is void. Traders should view this as a tactical long within a bearish macro context, not a trend reversal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold-exit indicators (CCI, STOCH, WILLR) firing together, amplifying the reversal signal.
▲ BOP zero cross up and HMA retreat up suggest buying pressure is emerging.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are already bullish, providing early confirmation.
▲ Strong signal strength (82% probability) adds confidence to the bounce scenario.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H and above) are all bearish, which could overwhelm the bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.23360 is a formidable barrier; if not broken, the bounce may stall.
▼ A drop below the 0.21110 support would invalidate the signal and likely resume the downtrend.
▼ The signal is based on a single 4H candle; momentum could fade quickly if not followed by follow-through.