APT/USDT – 4H – SELL
SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, TEMA Break Down, HMA Break Down +4 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Conviction, candle by candle
Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 16:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 3.00 |
| ▼ | TEMA Break Down | indicator | 2.44 |
| ▼ | HMA Break Down | indicator | 2.29 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 1.97 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▲ | DX Trend Strong | indicator | 1.39 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.32 |
| ▲ | KDJ Cross Up | indicator | 1.12 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 4H chart, with 89% probability, points to continued downside.
- Multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA 200, TEMA, ALMA, HMA) are in retreat, confirming the downtrend.
- The only bullish signal is a KDJ Cross Up, suggesting a possible short-term bounce within the larger bearish trend.
- Key levels: resistance at 0.84580 and support at 0.73220—watch for a break below support to confirm the trend.
Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent from 15m up to 4H, with trend scores of 2-3 out of 5, indicating a forming but solid trend. The 8H and 12H timeframes are choppy and sideways, which adds a note of caution—the medium-term trend is not as clear. The nearest resistance sits at 0.84580, while support is at 0.73220. A break below support would reinforce the bearish case, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it. Traders should watch these levels closely for confirmation or reversal.
- ▼ High confluence of independent indicators (DX Trend, STOCH, DEMA, EMA 200, TEMA, ALMA, HMA) all firing bearish.
- ▼ Trend is bearish across all timeframes from 15m to 1d, with no conflicting bullish timeframes.
- ▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability (89%) increase confidence in the bearish outlook.
- ▼ The KDJ Cross Up is the only counter-signal, but it is a minor pullback signal within a dominant downtrend.
- ▲ The 8H and 12H timeframes show choppy/sideways action, indicating a lack of a clear medium-term trend that could undermine the 4H signal.
- ▲ The KDJ Cross Up could be the start of a larger correction if it gains momentum, especially if price reclaims the nearest resistance at 0.84580.
- ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and a reversal could be underway.
- ▲ The trend scores are relatively low (2/5) on most timeframes, suggesting the trend is still forming and could fade if momentum stalls.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 0.84580 | 2026-10-21 |
| R2 | 0.89000 | 2026-10-16 |
| R3 | 0.96550 | 2026-10-11 |
| S1 | 0.73220 | 2026-10-18 |
| S2 | 0.69090 | 2026-10-08 |