AUD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED
5 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.11 %
Entry
0.98428
Target
0.98135 +0.30 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.98803 −0.38 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.73 % per trade 2,520 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,520 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −8.06 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowAUDPPI y/y●●○Forecast 3.2%Previous 3.6%in 16h
  • TomorrowAUDPPI q/q●●○Forecast 1.0%Previous 1.3%in 16h
  • TomorrowCADGDP y/y●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.4%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 65%
conviction per candle 12× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 12× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ COPPOCK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.99
▲ QQE Midline Cross Up indicator 1.97
▲ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up indicator 1.88
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.83
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.77
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.60
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.35
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish momentum is confirmed by multiple indicators, but short-term timeframes are still bullish, so watch for a potential bounce.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.98458 and support at 0.98135; a break below support would strengthen the bearish case.
  • Higher timeframes (1h and above) are bearish, aligning with the SELL signal, but the 30m and 15m are bullish, creating a conflict.
  • The Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) adds structural support for the downside, but the QQE and SQUEEZE crosses signal possible upward pressure.
The AUD/CAD 30-minute SELL signal combines a cluster of momentum and trend indicators pointing lower. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down confirm bearish momentum, while EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Down indicate price is pulling back from above these key moving averages, suggesting a potential shift to a downtrend. The Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) adds a structural element, showing price has broken below a significant retracement level. However, the COPPOCK Zero Cross Up, QQE Midline Cross Up, and SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up are counter-signals, reflecting short-term upward pressure or a squeeze that could lead to a bounce.

Across higher timeframes, the bias is predominantly bearish: the 1-hour timeframe shows a solid trend (3/5), and most others from 2h to 12h are bearish but still forming. The 30-minute and 15-minute timeframes are bullish, which creates a conflict—the immediate trend is trying to move up, but the higher timeframes are pulling down. The nearest resistance at 0.98458 is a key hurdle; if price fails to break above it, the bearish case strengthens. Support at 0.98135 is the immediate downside target, and a break below that would confirm the downtrend. The moderate probability (68%) and mixed signals suggest caution, but the alignment with higher timeframes supports the bearish bias.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Higher timeframe alignment: 1h solid bearish trend and 2h-12h all bearish, supporting the SELL signal.
  • ▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF) confirm bearish momentum, reinforcing the bearish case.
  • ▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) provides a structural level that has been broken, suggesting further downside potential.
  • ▼ Price is retreating from the EMA 200 and SMA 200, indicating a rejection from these dynamic levels.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Short-term bullish trends (15m and 30m) could lead to a bounce, potentially invalidating the signal if price rises above the nearest resistance at 0.98458.
  • ▲ The QQE Midline Cross Up and SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up indicate upward pressure, which could counteract the bearish momentum.
  • ▲ The 30-minute trend is choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear direction that might lead to false signals.
  • ▲ If price fails to break below the nearest support at 0.98135, the bearish move may stall, and the signal could fade.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 65%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 16:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98458 2026-10-22
R2 0.98803 2026-10-22
R3 0.98878 2026-10-21
S1 0.98135 2026-10-23
S2 0.98075 2026-10-23

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