AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
50 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %
Entry
0.70295
Target
0.70048 +0.35 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.70649 −0.50 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, T3 Retreat Down, HMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (11.23)
model score 3.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.0 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 17.1 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 432 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 1.85
▼ T3 Retreat Down indicator 1.77
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.62
▼ ADXR Trend Weak indicator 1.55
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ AO Saucer Bearish indicator 1.51
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.92

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on the 30M timeframe with multiple indicators confirming a sell bias.
  • Watch the nearest support at 0.70048; a break below it would validate the bearish move.
  • Resistance at 0.70365 is the invalidation level; a move above it would negate the sell signal.
  • Higher timeframes are mostly bullish, so this may be a short-term pullback within a larger uptrend.
The 30-minute AUD/USD signal is a strong SELL, backed by a confluence of bearish indicators and a bearish candlestick pattern. The ADXR Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Down, T3 Retreat Down, AO Saucer Bearish, ALMA Retreat Down, and HMA Retreat Down all point to a loss of bullish momentum and a shift toward downside pressure. The Bearish Engulfing candle at the time of the signal reinforces this bearish reversal. However, the broader trend across higher timeframes is predominantly bullish, with only the 1-day timeframe showing a solid bearish trend. This suggests the sell signal may be a short-term pullback within a larger bullish structure, or the start of a larger correction if the daily bearish trend gains traction.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.70365 and support at 0.70048. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door to further downside. Conversely, a bounce off support or a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish signal. The very strong probability and strength of the signal, combined with the alignment of multiple indicators, suggests a high-confidence short-term trade, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting higher timeframe trends.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of seven bearish indicators and a bearish candlestick pattern.
  • ▼ Very strong probability and strength of the signal.
  • ▼ Solid bearish trend on the 1-day timeframe provides some higher-timeframe support.
  • ▼ Multiple indicators showing retreat and weakness suggest momentum loss.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (15m to 12h) are bullish, which could limit the downside or cause a reversal.
  • ▲ The signal is on a low timeframe (30M) and may be noise within a larger uptrend.
  • ▲ If price holds above support and reclaims resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the bearish indicators are not followed by price action.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 4%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-23 17:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70365 2026-10-22
S1 0.70048 2026-10-23
S2 0.69940 2026-10-22
S3 0.69933 2026-10-21

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