AVAX/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-23 19:30 UTC 11 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.72 %

Entry

9.0480

Target

8.9830 +0.72 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.3500 −3.34 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 10,797 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 10,797 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.06 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.08 % 23 % at stop avg −1.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Bear Pennant, MAMA PRICE Break Down, ALMA Break Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Bear Pennantbreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.26
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.91
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.71
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.57
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.56
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.44
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.43
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.39
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.26
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.72

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bear Pennant breakdown confirms bearish continuation after consolidation.
Multiple indicator breaks (BBANDS, DEMA, EMA, MAMA, SAR) align for a very strong sell signal.
Key invalidation level: reclaim of 9.35000 would negate the bearish setup.
Immediate downside target is support at 8.98300; watch for a break below.

The AVA/USDT 30-minute chart has fired a very strong bearish signal, with a 100% probability, driven by a Bear Pennant breakdown and a cascade of indicator breaks: BBANDS lower band, DEMA, EMA retreat, MAMA price, midpoint, midprice, and a SAR flip to bearish. This confluence indicates a decisive shift from consolidation to downside momentum, with the pattern breakdown confirming a continuation of the prior downtrend. The alignment across timeframes is broadly bearish, with the 30m, 1h, and 8h showing solid trends (3/5), while other timeframes are forming (2/5), suggesting a developing but not fully mature downtrend. The nearest resistance at 9.35000 is the key level to watch for invalidation; a reclaim would signal a false breakdown. The nearest support at 8.98300 is the immediate downside target, and a break below could accelerate selling pressure. Traders should monitor whether the 4h and 12h timeframes strengthen their bearish alignment, which would reinforce the signal, or if they flip to neutral, which could stall the move.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of pattern and indicator signals on the 30m timeframe.
▼ Broad bearish alignment across all timeframes, with solid trends on 30m, 1h, and 8h.
▼ Bear Pennant breakdown typically leads to sharp continuation moves.
▼ High probability (100%) and very strong strength indicate high conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe trends (4h, 12h, 1d) are only forming (2/5), so the downtrend may lack maturity.
▲ If price reclaims the 9.35000 resistance, the breakdown is invalidated and could trap sellers.
▲ Momentum could fade if the 4h and 12h timeframes fail to strengthen their bearish alignment.
▲ Nearby support at 8.98300 may be a strong level; a bounce could trigger a short squeeze.