BCH/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-23 16:00 UTC 11 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +2.29 %

Entry

283.50

Target

263.90 +6.91 %

closes in profit

Stop

290.70 −2.54 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,538 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,538 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.77 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.97 % 20 % at stop avg −3.84 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: APO Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +1.0 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 6 % (1.39) ▼ Bearish 94 % (22.32)

model score 94.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.55
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.38
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.79
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	0.70

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum and volatility indicators align for a bearish move on the 4H timeframe.
The signal is weak and only 56% probable, so confirmation is needed.
Key levels: resistance at 290.70, support at 263.90; a break below support would strengthen the bearish case.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are still bullish, creating a conflict that may limit downside.

The 4H signal for BCH/USDT is bearish, with a cluster of momentum and volatility indicators firing in the same direction: APO and BOP zero cross downs, STOCH KD cross down, WILLR and KDJ exits from overbought zones, ERI bear zero cross up, HMA retreat down, and a Long Line Bearish candlestick. This confluence suggests a short-term shift from buying pressure to selling pressure, likely following a period of overextension. However, the signal's probability is moderate (56%) and strength is weak, indicating that the bearish momentum is not yet robust.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish on the lower and intermediate timeframes (15m through 2h, 12h, and 1d), but the 4H and 8H timeframes remain bullish, though choppy. This misalignment means the bearish signal is fighting against higher-timeframe bullish structure. The nearest resistance at 290.70 is above, while support at 263.90 is below. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, whereas holding above it could lead to a fade. Traders should watch for sustained selling on the 4H/8H to confirm the shift.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of eight signals all pointing bearish, including exits from overbought zones.
▼ Bearish trend on most timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 12h, 1d) supports the move.
▼ Long Line Bearish candlestick adds price action confirmation.
▼ Proximity to resistance at 290.70 could invite sellers.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are still bullish, which could absorb the bearish push.
▲ Weak signal strength and only 56% probability reduce conviction.
▲ If price holds above support at 263.90, the bearish momentum may fade.
▲ Choppy/sideways action on 15m and 4H suggests indecision; a false breakdown is possible.