BNB/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED

2026-10-23 16:00 UTC 22 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.84 %

Entry

741.53

Target

705.86 +4.81 %

closes in profit

Stop

751.86 −1.39 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,586 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,586 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.97 % 20 % at stop avg −3.84 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

63.8 % ↓ −3.3 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 13 % (6.63) ▼ Bearish 87 % (42.75)

model score 86.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.74
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.23
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.04
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.17
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.10
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.10
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.10
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.06
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.83
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.74
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.69
▼	Collapsing Doji Star	candlestick	0.67

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong, high-probability sell signal on the 4H with multiple confirming indicators.
Lower timeframes (15m-2h) and 12h are bearish, but 4H and 8H remain bullish—conflicting bias.
Key levels: resistance at 751.86, support at 705.86; watch for a break below support to confirm downside.
Momentum and trendline breaks suggest fresh downside pressure, but higher timeframe trend could limit follow-through.

The 4H BNB/USDT signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, all pointing in the same direction: a Trendline Break Down, multiple zero-cross events (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, ERI), and momentum shifts (STOCH KD, WILLR). With an 81% probability and strong strength, the confluence across indicator, candlestick, and trendline groups suggests a well-established short-term downtrend that has just gained fresh downside momentum. The 15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, and 12h timeframes all confirm bearish alignment, with the 30m and 12h showing solid trends (3/5), reinforcing that the move is not just a flash in the pan.

The higher timeframes, however, tell a more nuanced story: the 4H and 8H are still bullish, albeit choppy or trend-forming, which means this sell signal is fighting against the higher-level bias. The nearest resistance at 751.86 and support at 705.86 define a clear range; a break below support would strengthen the bearish case, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it. Traders should watch for a sustained close below the support to confirm the shift, but be aware that the bullish higher timeframes could trigger a bounce. The alignment across lower timeframes is compelling, but the conflicting 4H/8H trend is the main risk to monitor.

Catalysts

▼ Dense confluence of zero-cross and momentum indicators all firing bearish simultaneously.
▼ Trendline break down adds structural confirmation to the downside move.
▼ Multiple timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h, 12h) align bearish, with 30m and 12h showing solid trends.
▼ Strong signal strength (81%) and high probability indicate robust conviction in the move.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4H and 8H timeframes are still bullish, which could stall or reverse the downtrend.
▲ Nearest support at 705.86 is a critical invalidation level; a bounce from there would undermine the signal.
▲ Fading momentum if the zero-cross moves stall or if price consolidates sideways.
▲ Resistance at 751.86 is nearby and could act as a magnet if the bearish move loses steam.