DOT/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-23 16:00 UTC 11 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +4.21 %

Entry

1.1170

Target

1.0460 +6.36 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.2130 −8.59 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,538 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,538 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.77 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.97 % 20 % at stop avg −3.84 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 40 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, MA Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down +16 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

42.8 % ↓ −21.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 14 % (4.96) ▼ Bearish 86 % (30.09)

model score 24.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.58
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.45
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.41
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.36
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.32
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.22
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.05
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.05
▼	HT TRENDLINE Break Down	indicator	2.03
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.00
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.99
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.93
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.78
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	1.70
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.66
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.24

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 4H with multiple confirmations from momentum and trend indicators.
Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are aligned bearish, supporting the immediate downtrend.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 1.21300 and support at 1.04600; a break below support would confirm bearish momentum.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are still bullish, so watch for potential conflict that could limit the downside.

The 4H DOT/USDT signal is strongly bearish, with a 97% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cascade of momentum and trend-following indicators. The simultaneous break of the DEMA and EMA, along with the HT TRENDLINE break, suggests a decisive shift in market structure on the 4H timeframe. The CCI Zero Cross Down and MACD Signal Cross Down confirm that downside momentum is accelerating, while the WILLR OS Entry indicates that the market is already in oversold territory, which could imply that the initial push down is underway but may be subject to short-term corrections.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is most consistent on the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h), with solid or forming trends, while the 4H itself is choppy/sideways, indicating that the signal is leading a shift from a ranging market to a downtrend. The higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are still bullish but choppy, which poses a potential conflict. The nearest resistance at 1.21300 and support at 1.04600 define the immediate trading range; a break below support would confirm the bearish thesis, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator confluence: CCI, MACD, DEMA, EMA, and trendline breaks all align bearish.
▼ Consistent bearish trends on 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes provide strong short-term alignment.
▼ High probability (97%) and very strong strength indicate robust signal conviction.
▼ Break of the HT TRENDLINE suggests a structural breakdown of previous support levels.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe (8H, 12H) are still bullish, which could act as a counter-trend and lead to a bounce.
▲ The 4H trend is choppy/sideways, meaning the signal may be early and the market could range before moving down.
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicates oversold conditions, which could lead to a short-term pullback or consolidation.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 1.21300, the bearish signal would be invalidated; watch for that level.