ETH/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-23 20:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +2.45 %

Entry

2,387.60

Target

2,329.00 +2.45 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,526.62 −5.82 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 1,586 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,586 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.83 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.97 % 20 % at stop avg −3.84 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Hidden Bear Div, ALMA Break Down, Momentum Hidden Bear Div +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 28,281 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (24 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MACD Hidden Bear Div	divergence	3.06
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.84
▼	Momentum Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.66
▼	AO Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.54
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.52
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.00
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.85
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.46
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.41
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.30
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.25
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.18
▼	Three Outside Down	candlestick	0.85

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish bias is strong on the 4H signal, but lower timeframes are still forming, so confirmation may lag.
Watch the 2329 support: a decisive break could accelerate the downtrend, while holding may cause consolidation.
Multiple moving average breakdowns and divergence signals align, but the choppy 4H trend score warns of potential sideways action.
Higher timeframe trends (8H, 12H) are solid, supporting the bearish outlook.

The 4H ETH/USDT signal is heavily bearish, with a 90% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of trend, moving average, and divergence indicators. AROON Strong Downtrend, DX Trend Strong, and multiple moving average breakdowns (DEMA, EMA, MAMA, TEMA) confirm sustained downside momentum. The HT SINE Zero Cross Up and ERI BULL Zero Cross Down add divergence signals, suggesting bearish momentum may be accelerating despite short-term noise.

Across timeframes, bearish alignment is consistent, though strength varies: the 8H and 12H show solid trends (3/5), while lower timeframes (15m to 2h) are still forming (2/5), and the 4H is choppy/sideways (1/5). This indicates the bearish trend is established on higher timeframes but lacks full confirmation on the signal's own timeframe. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 2526.62 and support at 2329.00. A break below support would reinforce the downtrend, while a reclaim of resistance could signal a reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Strong alignment across multiple indicator groups (trend, moving averages, divergence) on the 4H signal.
▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) show solid bearish trends, providing macro support.
▼ Divergence signals (HT SINE Zero Cross Up, ERI BULL Zero Cross Down) suggest momentum shift in favor of downside.
▼ The nearest resistance at 2526.62 is well above current price, offering room for downside moves.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are only trend forming (2/5), so the move may not be fully established yet.
▲ The 4H timeframe itself shows a choppy/sideways trend (1/5), indicating potential for consolidation or false breakouts.
▲ If price reclaims the 2526.62 resistance, the bearish signal could be invalidated.
▲ Fading momentum on the signal timeframe could lead to a pause or reversal before reaching support.