EUR/AUD – 2H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED

2026-10-22 19:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.37 %

Entry

1.59763

Target

1.58998 +0.48 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.60932 −0.73 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 12 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 763 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 763 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +8% Intraday

▲ Bullish 8 % (3.78) ▼ Bearish 92 % (44.18)

model score 21.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 13 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.53
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.50
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.47
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.43
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.41
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.39
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.38
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	2.02
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.97
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.90
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.55
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.35
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.26
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.22
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.21

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on EUR/AUD 2H with 94% probability and very strong strength.
Multiple indicators align for a downward move, including APO, BOP, STOCHF, BBANDS, and several moving averages.
Watch the nearest support at 1.59568; a break below could accelerate the decline.
Resistance at 1.60932 is the key invalidation level; a move above it would weaken the bearish case.

The EUR/AUD 2H signal is firmly bearish, with a very strong probability of 94% and a broad confluence of indicators. The dominant theme is a downward momentum shift: the APO Zero Cross Up and BOP Zero Cross Down indicate a shift in market pressure, while the STOCHF KD Cross Down, BBANDS Middle Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, and MA Retreat Down all point to a consistent bearish trend across multiple timeframes. This alignment across 15m to 1d, though choppy on lower timeframes, suggests a developing downtrend rather than a one-off move.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 1.59568 and resistance at 1.60932. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would signal a potential reversal. The trend is forming on the 30m, 2h, and 4h timeframes, indicating that the bearish move is gaining traction. However, the choppy nature on other timeframes suggests that the move may not be perfectly linear, and traders should be prepared for potential pullbacks.

Catalysts

▼ Broad confluence of indicators across multiple categories (momentum, trend, volatility) all pointing down.
▼ Trend alignment across timeframes: 30m, 2h, and 4h show forming bearish trends, supporting the signal.
▼ Very strong trend score (94%) and 'very_strong' strength indicate high conviction.
▼ The signal fired at the start of a new 2H candle, suggesting a fresh entry point.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframe (1d) is choppy/sideways, which could mean the bearish move is part of a larger consolidation.
▲ The nearest resistance at 1.60932 is close; a reclaim could invalidate the signal.
▲ Momentum may fade if price fails to break support quickly, leading to sideways chop.
▲ The 15m and 8h timeframes are choppy, indicating potential noise and false breakouts.