PEPE/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-23 16:00 UTC 11 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +5.32 %

Entry

0.000004700

Target

0.000003770 +19.79 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.000004790 −1.91 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,538 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,538 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.77 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.97 % 20 % at stop avg −3.84 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, CTI OB Entry +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

46.5 % ↓ −20.6 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (27.11)

model score 30.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 20.6 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 26.7 % vs 22.4 % (crypto, 2,501 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.02
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.79
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.33
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.03
▼	Long Line Bearish	candlestick	1.01

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish indicators on the 4H chart signals a strong potential reversal from overbought conditions.
Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are bearish, but higher timeframes (2H-8H) remain bullish, indicating a possible pullback within an uptrend.
Watch the nearest support level: a break below would confirm the bearish move, while holding could lead to a bounce.
The 1D timeframe is choppy, adding uncertainty to the overall trend direction.

The 4H signal fires a dense cluster of bearish indicators—CCI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, CTI OB Entry, SMI Signal Cross Down, HMA Break Down, and a Long Line Bearish candlestick—all converging to mark a potential trend reversal from overbought conditions. The alignment of multiple oscillators and the HMA breakdown points to a coordinated move lower, with the candlestick pattern confirming the shift in momentum. However, the broader context is mixed: while the 15m to 1h timeframes are bearish, the 2H to 8H timeframes remain bullish, and the 1D is choppy. This suggests the sell signal may be a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend, not a full trend change.

Key levels are not provided in the signal, but traders should watch the nearest support and resistance zones as defined by their platform. The bearish signal is strongest on the lower timeframes, so a break below the nearest support would validate the reversal, while holding above it could see the bullish higher timeframes reassert. The high probability (83%) and strong strength lend weight to the signal, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends introduce uncertainty. Traders should monitor price action around the nearest support and resistance to gauge whether the bearish momentum can sustain or if it fades into consolidation.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple oscillators (CCI, STOCH, CTI, SMI) all exit overbought or cross down, providing strong confluence.
▼ HMA Break Down and Long Line Bearish candlestick confirm bearish momentum on the 4H timeframe.
▼ Lower timeframes (15m-1h) are aligned bearish, supporting the immediate sell signal.
▼ High probability (83%) and strong strength increase the signal's reliability.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H-8H) are still bullish, which could override the lower timeframe bearish move and lead to a bounce.
▲ The 1D timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear trend and potential for range-bound behavior.
▲ If the nearest support holds, the bearish signal may fail and the uptrend could resume.
▲ The signal is based on overbought conditions; if momentum fades, the reversal could stall.