SHIB/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-10-23 16:00 UTC 11 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.98 %

Entry

0.000005040

Target

0.000004800 +4.76 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.000005270 −4.56 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,538 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,538 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.77 % 24 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.97 % 20 % at stop avg −3.84 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Break Down, VIDYA Retreat Down, MACD Signal Cross Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

60.1 % ↓ −7.0 vs previous candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 23 % (2.71) ▼ Bearish 77 % (8.98)

model score 76.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	2.45
▼	VIDYA Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▲	AO Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.04
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.94
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	Evening Star	candlestick	1.13
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.08
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.87
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.85
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.84
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.80

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal has fired on the 4H timeframe, with 15+ indicators aligned downward.
The broader trend (8H, 12H, 1D) is solidly bearish, supporting the sell direction.
Key support is at 0.00000, with resistance at 0.00001; watch these levels for invalidation.
The 4H timeframe itself is still bullish, creating a conflict that could limit downside follow-through.

The SHI/BUSDT 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, all crossing zero or midlines downward simultaneously. This includes BOP, CCI, CMO, MACD, RSI, and STOCH KD, plus a break below both the lower and middle Bollinger Bands. The confluence of momentum, trend, and volatility measures points to a strong, coordinated shift in short-term bearish pressure. The signal strength is rated very strong, with a 93% probability, and the candlestick group adds confirmation of the move.

Across timeframes, the broader trend is clearly bearish: the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes all show solid bearish trends (3/5), while the 1H and 30M are forming bearish trends. However, the 4H itself is still bullish (trend forming), which is a notable divergence. The 15M and 2H are choppy and sideways, suggesting near-term noise. The key resistance sits at 0.00001, with support at 0.00000. A break below current levels could target the support, but the conflicting 4H bullish bias warrants caution.

Catalysts

▼ Massive confluence of momentum and trend indicators all crossing down simultaneously.
▼ Bollinger Bands lower break confirms volatility expansion to the downside.
▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) all show solid bearish trends, aligning with the signal.
▼ Signal strength rated 'very strong' with 93% probability, indicating high conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4H timeframe is still bullish (trend forming), which directly conflicts with the sell signal.
▲ The 15M and 2H are choppy/sideways, suggesting the market may be ranging rather than trending.
▲ If price reclaims the 0.00001 resistance, the bearish thesis weakens; a break above that level would invalidate the signal.
▲ Fading momentum on lower timeframes could lead to a false breakdown, so watch for a quick bounce back above the Bollinger middle band.