USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 8× UPDATED CLOSED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.03 %
Entry
1.40096
Target
1.40442 +0.25 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.39473 −0.44 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, KDJ OS Exit, RSI OS Exit +8 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 71%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.88
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.84
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.70
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.70
▲ ADXR Trend Strong indicator 1.65
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.60
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.52
▲ ZLMA Retreat Up indicator 1.31
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.17
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.17
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.06
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 0.94

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNVery strong trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong oversold bounce signal on the 30M chart, but it is counter to the dominant bearish trend.
  • Nearest resistance at 1.40442 is the key level to watch; a break above could signal a deeper correction.
  • All higher timeframes are bearish, so treat this as a tactical long, not a trend reversal.
  • Momentum and oscillator signals are aligned, but confirmation from the 1H or 2H chart is needed.
The 30-minute USD/CAD signal fires a dense cluster of momentum and oscillator indicators all pointing to a bullish reversal attempt. The ADXR Trend Strong and HMA Retreat Up indicate that downside momentum is decelerating, while BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, and the RSI/KDJ/RSX oversold exits suggest that buying pressure is building from depressed levels. The ER Level Cross Down further confirms that the pair is moving away from its recent range extremes. Together, these signals form a coherent picture of an oversold bounce that could extend if higher timeframes confirm.

However, the broader context is firmly bearish. Every timeframe from 15 minutes to 1 day shows a bearish trend, with the 4-hour trend rated as very strong. This means the bullish signal is a counter-trend move within a dominant downtrend. The nearest resistance at 1.40442 is a critical level; a failure to break above it would likely see the bounce fade and the bearish trend resume. Traders should treat this as a tactical opportunity rather than a trend change, and watch for confirmation from higher timeframes before committing to larger positions.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oversold exit signals (RSI, KDJ, RSX) firing together indicate strong buying pressure from depressed levels.
  • ▲ ADXR Trend Strong and HMA Retreat Up show downside momentum is weakening, supporting a bounce.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCH KD Cross Up confirm a shift in buying pressure.
  • ▲ The cluster of signals on the 30M timeframe increases the probability of a short-term move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 4H timeframe shows a very strong bearish trend, which could easily override a 30M counter-trend bounce.
  • ▼ If the price fails to break above 1.40442, the bounce is likely to fail and the downtrend resumes.
  • ▼ The 15M and 30M trends are still bearish, indicating that the bullish signal is not yet confirmed on even the lowest timeframes.
  • ▼ A choppy 1H trend suggests that the market may be indecisive, increasing the risk of a false signal.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 71%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-22 19:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40442 2026-10-22
R2 1.40821 2026-10-21
R3 1.41125 2026-10-19

Tags

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