USD/JPY – 1D – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-22 21:00 UTC 5 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.63 %

Entry

156.860

Target

160.389 +2.25 %

closes in profit

Stop

152.883 −2.54 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 8

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 5,854 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 5,854 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.36 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, BOP Zero Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

46.9 % ↓ −14.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 97 % (48.19) ▼ Bearish 3 % (1.24)

model score 40.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.2 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 14.5 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 546 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

17:00TodayUSD7-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 5.085%in 3h
23:30TodayJPYTokyo CPI excl. Food and Energy y/y●●●Forecast 3.0%Previous 3.0%in 9h
23:30TodayJPYUnemployment Rate●●○in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	2.18
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.17
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.94
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.92
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.61
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.58
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.41
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.09
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	0.87
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.67

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Daily bullish signals are weak (59%) and conflict with bearish higher timeframes.
Watch the 160.389 resistance and 152.883 support as critical decision levels.
Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) show early bullish pressure but lack confirmation.
Higher timeframe trends (2h-8h) are bearish, suggesting a possible counter-trend move.

The USD/JPY 1D signal aggregates a cluster of momentum and oscillator indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, DX Trend Strong, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, CTI OS Entry, and ERI BULL Zero Cross Down—suggesting early bullish pressure within the daily timeframe. However, the overall probability is moderate at 59% with weak strength, and the higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) remain bearish with solid trends, creating a conflicting backdrop. The daily trend is choppy, indicating that the bullish signals may represent a counter-trend correction rather than a sustained reversal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 160.389 and support at 152.883. A break above resistance would confirm bullish momentum, while a move below support would invalidate the signal. Given the bearish higher timeframes, traders should expect limited upside unless the daily momentum strengthens and aligns with the longer-term direction.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillator signals (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, CTI) align on the daily timeframe.
▲ DX Trend Strong indicates underlying trend strength in the daily view.
▲ ERI BULL and KST cross signals add confluence to the bullish case.

Risk Factors