USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-10-22 19:00 UTC 53 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.05 %

Entry

156.806

Target

158.251 +0.92 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.008 −0.51 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,246 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,246 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,042 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % ↓ −3.6 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 68 % (6.85) ▼ Bearish 32 % (3.17)

model score 68.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.4 % vs 18.3 % on average · stopped out 16.4 % vs 12.3 % (forex, 415 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (22 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.57
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▼	RSX Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.28
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.13
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.13
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.02

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish signal cluster on the 30m chart suggests a short-term bounce, but the higher timeframes are bearish, so treat it as a correction.
Watch the nearest resistance at 158.25100; a break above could extend the bounce, but rejection would confirm the bearish trend.
The nearest support at 156.68900 is the invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish signals.
The 1-day bullish trend is choppy, offering limited long-term upside, so focus on the immediate move.

The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including APO Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, CTI OS Entry, RSX Midline Cross Down, HMA Retreat Up, VORTEX Cross Down, and a Bullish Harami Cross. This confluence suggests a sharp, short-term bounce is developing within an overall bearish trend. The probability of 81% with strong strength indicates high conviction among the indicators, but the alignment across higher timeframes is predominantly bearish, with solid trends on the 30m through 2h charts. This implies the bullish move is likely a counter-trend correction rather than a reversal.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 158.25100 and support at 156.68900. A break above resistance could signal a deeper correction, while a failure to hold support would invalidate the bullish case. The 1-day timeframe shows a bullish but choppy trend, offering a glimmer of longer-term upside, but the immediate higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are all bearish, so traders should expect resistance near the current levels. The signal's strength is notable, but the trend conflict across timeframes is a primary risk.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (APO, BOP, STOCHF, CTI, RSX, HMA, VORTEX, candlestick) align in the same direction, increasing signal reliability.
▲ Strong signal strength (81% probability) and a solid trend score on the 30m timeframe support the bounce.
▲ The Bullish Harami Cross and other candlestick patterns add confluence to the indicator-based signals.
▲ The 1-day timeframe shows a bullish bias, providing a potential longer-term backdrop.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h) are all bearish with solid trends, which could overwhelm the 30m bounce.
▼ The nearest resistance at 158.25100 is close and may cap any upside move.
▼ If support at 156.68900 is broken, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
▼ The 8h and 12h timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear trend and potential for false signals.