USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.27 %
Entry
156.400
Target
157.161 +0.49 %
closes in profit
Stop
156.075 −0.21 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,332 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,332 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BOP Zero Cross Up, Bullish Harami Cross, Long Legged Doji +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 27,668 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 97 % (41.56) ▼ Bearish 3 % (1.19)
model score 97.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.5 % on average · stopped out 14.4 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 720 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 97%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (23 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.68
▼ QQE Midline Cross Down indicator 1.42
▲ Bullish Harami Cross candlestick 1.15
▲ Long Legged Doji candlestick 1.14
▲ Inverted Hammer candlestick 1.04

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A cluster of bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a potential short-term bounce.
  • The broader trend is bearish across higher timeframes, so any upside is likely corrective.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 157.161 for a potential upside target.
  • The nearest support at 156.075 is the key level to hold for the bullish setup.
The 30-minute USD/JPY chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, a QQE Midline Cross Down, a Bullish Harami Cross, an Inverted Hammer, and a Long Legged Doji. These signals suggest a potential short-term bounce or reversal within a broader bearish context. The confluence of candlestick patterns and indicator signals at a key support zone increases the likelihood of a corrective move higher, but traders should be cautious given the prevailing bearish trend across multiple timeframes.

Across the higher timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish, with solid trend scores on the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts, while the 30-minute and 15-minute charts show bearish but choppy conditions. This suggests that any upside is likely to be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 157.161 is the immediate upside target, while the nearest support at 156.075 is the critical level to hold for the bullish scenario to remain valid.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple candlestick patterns (Bullish Harami Cross, Inverted Hammer, Long Legged Doji) indicate a potential reversal at support.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and QQE Midline Cross Down add indicator confluence to the bullish signal.
  • ▲ The signals are firing at a key support level, increasing the probability of a bounce.
  • ▲ The signal probability is high at 78% with strong strength, suggesting robust conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The higher timeframe trend is bearish, with solid downtrends on the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish signal.
  • ▼ The 30-minute trend is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear directional momentum.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 156.075 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely lead to further downside.
  • ▼ The bullish signals may be a temporary pause in the broader downtrend, so traders should watch for signs of fading momentum.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-23 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 157.16100 2026-10-23
R2 157.35700 2026-10-22
R3 158.25100 2026-10-22
S1 156.07500 2026-10-23

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